Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 05:20:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 62%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
12.0/15
Profit Factor
11.3/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 82.1/100
× Confidence 0.62 = 50.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (62%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,101
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
134 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,922.40
Current Value
$19,471.86
Period P&L
$1,549.48
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+5.18%
Worst Trade
-4.19%
Avg Trade Return
+1.47%
Avg Hold Time
6.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$232,100.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,549.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,549.48
Gross Return
+8.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 134 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Volume Panic had $17,922.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 2:05pm ET $83.65 214 $17,901.10
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 12:20pm ET $87.99 214 $18,828.79 $18,850.08 +$927.69
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $87.26 216 $18,848.16
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET $91.70 216 $19,807.20 $19,809.12 +$959.04
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $92.07 215 $19,793.98
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $88.99 215 $19,131.78 $19,146.92 $-662.20
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $86.07 222 $19,107.45
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $86.88 222 $19,287.36 $19,326.82 +$179.91
(+0.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $83.25 232 $19,315.16
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $87.55 232 $20,311.60 $20,323.26 +$996.44
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $78.72 258 $20,309.76
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $75.42 258 $19,458.36 $19,471.86 $-851.40
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,471.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,471.86
Total Return: +94.72%
Back to Marcus Volume Panic