Compendium › Marcus Volume Panic › DIA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIA
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Volume Panic's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 14 trades executed

+32.24%
2 Years Return
$13,223.97
Current Value
79%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 04:14:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 48%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.6/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
14.5/15
Profit Factor
9.2/15
Consistency
8.5/10
Raw Quality 67.3/100
× Confidence 0.48 = 32.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (48%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
62,452
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
529 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$13,223.97
Total P&L
$3,223.97
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.66

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
11 / 3
Best Trade
+5.69%
Worst Trade
-4.52%
Avg Trade Return
+2.12%
Avg Hold Time
21.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$309,405.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,223.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,223.97
Gross Return
+32.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+32.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 529 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Volume Panic had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $385.65 25 $9,641.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2024 9:30am ET $405.54 25 $10,138.50 $10,497.25 +$497.25
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2024 3:40pm ET $409.33 25 $10,233.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2024 3:40pm ET $419.26 25 $10,481.50 $10,745.50 +$248.25
(+2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2024 2:00pm ET $420.00 25 $10,500.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 1:00pm ET $436.18 25 $10,904.50 $11,150.00 +$404.50
(+3.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 2:00pm ET $436.03 25 $10,900.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2024 10:15am ET $422.82 25 $10,570.50 $10,819.75 $-330.25
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2025 2:30pm ET $433.93 24 $10,414.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 1:35pm ET $420.90 24 $10,101.60 $10,507.03 $-312.72
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $414.71 25 $10,367.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $395.98 25 $9,899.50 $10,038.78 $-468.25
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $370.62 27 $10,006.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $391.71 27 $10,576.17 $10,608.21 +$569.43
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $388.68 27 $10,494.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 9:35am ET $408.64 27 $11,033.28 $11,147.13 +$538.92
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 1:25pm ET $413.43 26 $10,749.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 1:25pm ET $426.28 26 $11,083.28 $11,481.23 +$334.10
(+3.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET $425.58 26 $11,065.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 9:45am ET $447.23 26 $11,628.00 $12,044.15 +$562.92
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $436.41 27 $11,783.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $450.65 27 $12,167.55 $12,428.63 +$384.48
(+3.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET $462.50 26 $12,025.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $472.66 26 $12,289.16 $12,692.79 +$264.16
(+2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $471.50 26 $12,259.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $483.53 26 $12,571.78 $13,005.57 +$312.78
(+2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $486.58 26 $12,651.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $494.98 26 $12,869.48 $13,223.97 +$218.40
(+1.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,223.97
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,223.97
Total Return: +32.24%
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