Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:51:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
80.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
69.6/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
40,660
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
510 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,416.57
Current Value
$13,056.26
Total P&L
$2,639.69
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.87

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
8
Winners / Losers
6 / 2
Best Trade
+5.42%
Worst Trade
-3.04%
Avg Trade Return
+3.06%
Avg Hold Time
12.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$184,903.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,639.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,639.69
Gross Return
+25.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 510 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Yield Curve had $10,416.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2024 10:40am ET $952.92 10 $9,529.15
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2024 10:35am ET $1,000.60 10 $10,006.00 $10,893.43 +$476.85
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2024 12:25pm ET $1,001.28 10 $10,012.80
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2024 10:25am ET $1,051.37 10 $10,513.70 $11,394.33 +$500.90
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2024 10:35am ET $1,028.61 11 $11,314.71
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2024 10:15am ET $1,080.12 11 $11,881.32 $11,960.94 +$566.61
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2024 10:15am ET $1,053.22 11 $11,585.37
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2024 10:50am ET $1,021.23 11 $11,233.53 $11,609.10 $-351.83
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2024 2:15pm ET $1,052.92 11 $11,582.12
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $1,109.98 11 $12,209.78 $12,236.76 +$627.66
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET $1,064.00 11 $11,704.00
🔴 SELL Aug 9, 2024 9:55am ET $1,117.99 11 $12,297.89 $12,830.65 +$593.89
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2024 11:55am ET $1,120.24 11 $12,322.64
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2024 12:35pm ET $1,176.70 11 $12,943.70 $13,451.71 +$621.06
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2024 11:45am ET $1,189.18 11 $13,080.98
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2024 11:05am ET $1,153.23 11 $12,685.53 $13,056.26 $-395.45
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,056.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,056.26
Total Return: +30.56%
Back to Marcus Yield Curve