AVAXUSD Momo Momentum's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 35 trades in period
-37.49%
Last Year Return
$2,338.65
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$3,633.20
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
25.3 oversold
20d Trend
-38.3%
5d Trend
-38.9%
EMA20 Dist
-40.8%
ATR%
15.6%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality
4.0/100
× Confidence 0.91
= 3.6
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,300
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$3,633.20
Current Value
$2,338.65
Period P&L
$-1,362.02
Max Drawdown
-79.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
14 /
21
Best Trade
+11.38%
Worst Trade
-9.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$273,497.59
Estimated Fees
$683.74
Gross P&L
$-1,362.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,045.76
Gross Return
-37.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-56.31%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $3,633.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 8:10pm ET | $22.24 | 163 | $3,633.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 10, 2025 6:10am ET | $24.47 | 163 | $3,997.49 | $3,978.41 |
+$345.22 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 10, 2025 6:25am ET | $24.58 | 162 | $3,978.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2025 9:10pm ET | $22.59 | 162 | $3,656.32 | $3,637.23 |
$-341.18 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 9:15pm ET | $22.56 | 161 | $3,637.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 6:05am ET | $24.97 | 161 | $4,026.11 | $4,006.95 |
+$369.72 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.4d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 6:10am ET | $24.86 | 161 | $4,006.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 24, 2025 2:50pm ET | $22.86 | 161 | $3,684.59 | $3,665.36 |
$-341.59 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 24, 2025 3:10pm ET | $22.87 | 160 | $3,665.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 12:30pm ET | $20.86 | 160 | $3,343.22 | $3,325.70 |
$-339.66 (-8.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2025 8:10pm ET | $19.56 | 170 | $3,325.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2025 10:20am ET | $21.65 | 170 | $3,681.05 | $3,663.53 |
+$337.84 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.6d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2025 10:25am ET | $21.61 | 170 | $3,663.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 7:35pm ET | $24.07 | 170 | $4,080.58 | $4,061.21 |
+$397.68 (+11.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 7:45pm ET | $23.91 | 170 | $4,061.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2025 7:30am ET | $26.33 | 170 | $4,472.26 | $4,450.93 |
+$389.71 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 7:35am ET | $26.27 | 169 | $4,450.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2025 9:40am ET | $23.89 | 169 | $4,047.68 | $4,026.44 |
$-424.49 (-9.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 9:45am ET | $23.76 | 169 | $4,026.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2025 6:40pm ET | $26.20 | 169 | $4,439.93 | $4,418.76 |
+$392.32 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.4d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2025 6:50pm ET | $26.06 | 170 | $4,418.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 4:05pm ET | $23.92 | 170 | $4,055.90 | $4,034.71 |
$-384.05 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 4:25pm ET | $24.17 | 167 | $4,034.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2025 8:10pm ET | $22.19 | 167 | $3,704.19 | $3,684.84 |
$-349.87 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 8:25pm ET | $22.31 | 165 | $3,684.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 9, 2025 1:25am ET | $24.61 | 165 | $4,064.73 | $4,045.35 |
+$360.51 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 8:00pm ET | $25.48 | 159 | $4,045.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 9:00am ET | $23.39 | 159 | $3,713.53 | $3,694.13 |
$-351.22 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2025 9:15am ET | $23.76 | 155 | $3,694.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 23, 2025 8:35am ET | $26.20 | 155 | $4,073.50 | $4,054.08 |
+$359.94 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 23, 2025 8:40am ET | $26.11 | 155 | $4,054.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 6:40am ET | $24.02 | 155 | $3,729.57 | $3,710.11 |
$-343.97 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 6:50am ET | $24.06 | 154 | $3,710.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 2:15am ET | $26.47 | 154 | $4,081.73 | $4,062.25 |
+$352.15 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 2:55am ET | $26.97 | 151 | $4,062.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 12:00am ET | $29.80 | 151 | $4,488.51 | $4,467.14 |
+$404.88 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 12:05am ET | $29.58 | 151 | $4,467.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 10:10pm ET | $32.57 | 151 | $4,918.68 | $4,895.22 |
+$428.08 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 10:15pm ET | $32.39 | 151 | $4,895.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 9:20pm ET | $35.65 | 151 | $5,387.91 | $5,362.21 |
+$466.99 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 9:25pm ET | $35.54 | 151 | $5,362.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2025 1:30pm ET | $32.68 | 151 | $4,930.69 | $4,904.96 |
$-457.24 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2025 2:15pm ET | $32.94 | 149 | $4,904.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 2:00am ET | $29.94 | 149 | $4,458.24 | $4,434.84 |
$-470.13 (-9.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 2:20am ET | $30.64 | 145 | $4,434.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 7:15pm ET | $33.73 | 145 | $4,882.08 | $4,858.79 |
+$423.95 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 7:20pm ET | $33.57 | 145 | $4,858.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 2:55am ET | $30.86 | 145 | $4,466.56 | $4,443.24 |
$-415.55 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 3:10am ET | $30.97 | 143 | $4,443.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:15pm ET | $28.43 | 143 | $4,078.83 | $4,057.53 |
$-385.72 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:25pm ET | $28.22 | 144 | $4,057.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 5:55am ET | $31.07 | 144 | $4,467.30 | $4,445.99 |
+$388.47 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 8:00pm ET | $30.74 | 145 | $4,445.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 3:25pm ET | $28.27 | 145 | $4,088.75 | $4,067.41 |
$-378.58 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 7:05pm ET | $14.62 | 278 | $4,067.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 9:30pm ET | $13.45 | 278 | $3,741.91 | $3,722.39 |
$-345.03 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:45pm ET | $13.46 | 277 | $3,722.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 12:10pm ET | $12.38 | 277 | $3,423.71 | $3,405.84 |
$-316.54 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 7:15pm ET | $13.90 | 245 | $3,405.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET | $12.66 | 245 | $3,102.01 | $3,085.74 |
$-320.10 (-8.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 8:05am ET | $9.38 | 329 | $3,085.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $8.89 | 329 | $2,924.54 | $2,924.54 |
$-176.22 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $9.37 | 312 | $2,924.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $8.88 | 312 | $2,771.60 | $2,771.60 |
$-167.18 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET | $9.45 | 293 | $2,771.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 4:40am ET | $8.91 | 293 | $2,613.22 | $2,613.22 |
$-171.84 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:35am ET | $9.39 | 278 | $2,613.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:35pm ET | $8.89 | 278 | $2,474.07 | $2,474.07 |
$-151.87 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 5, 2026 9:20pm ET | $9.50 | 260 | $2,474.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 7:05pm ET | $8.98 | 260 | $2,338.65 | $2,338.65 |
$-147.45 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$2,338.65
Net Profit/Loss:
$-7,661.35
Total Return:
-76.61%