Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:00:44

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

1
Lifetime
Confidence: 50%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 0.50 = 1.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (50%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,382
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,257.37
Current Value
$7,448.35
Period P&L
$-809.02
Max Drawdown
-39.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+10.71%
Worst Trade
-8.14%
Avg Trade Return
-0.67%
Avg Hold Time
16.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$172,128.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-809.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-809.02
Gross Return
-9.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $8,257.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 9:35am ET $81.22 101 $8,203.22
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 9:35am ET $79.04 101 $7,983.04 $8,037.20 $-220.18
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 9:40am ET $82.31 97 $7,984.07
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 9:40am ET $80.71 97 $7,828.87 $7,882.00 $-155.20
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET $83.97 93 $7,808.92
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 9:35am ET $77.14 93 $7,173.56 $7,246.63 $-635.37
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 9:55am ET $84.93 85 $7,219.04
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET $83.54 85 $7,100.90 $7,128.49 $-118.14
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 9:35am ET $84.39 84 $7,088.76
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $77.60 84 $6,518.40 $6,558.13 $-570.36
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.3d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:40am ET $90.57 72 $6,521.11
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 9:40am ET $87.31 72 $6,286.32 $6,323.34 $-234.79
(-3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 9:40am ET $87.88 71 $6,239.13
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $92.15 71 $6,542.65 $6,626.86 +$303.53
(+4.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:50am ET $93.22 71 $6,618.27
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $103.20 71 $7,326.85 $7,335.44 +$708.58
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:35am ET $104.49 70 $7,314.30
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 12:40pm ET $96.13 70 $6,729.10 $6,750.24 $-585.20
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 1:05pm ET $97.36 69 $6,717.84
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $107.34 69 $7,406.46 $7,438.86 +$688.62
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET $107.86 68 $7,334.48
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $108.30 68 $7,364.40 $7,468.78 +$29.92
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $117.77 63 $7,419.57
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $117.45 63 $7,399.14 $7,448.35 $-20.43
(-0.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,448.35
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,551.65
Total Return: -25.52%
Back to Momo Momentum