Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:23:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.0/35
Total Return
19.8/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
6.6/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 55.3/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 48.2

30-Day Momentum

55
+36.3%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.0 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,021
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$7,386.95
Current Value
$34,416.42
Period P&L
$27,029.49
Max Drawdown
-53.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.67

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
22 / 8
Best Trade
+18.29%
Worst Trade
-13.17%
Avg Trade Return
+5.69%
Avg Hold Time
8.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,071,113.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$27,029.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$27,029.49
Gross Return
+365.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+365.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $7,386.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:40am ET $80.50 90 $7,245.00
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $93.15 90 $8,383.50 $8,459.75 +$1,138.50
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:50am ET $96.80 87 $8,421.60
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 9:50am ET $97.73 87 $8,502.51 $8,540.66 +$80.91
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 10:35am ET $101.71 83 $8,441.93
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET $114.07 83 $9,467.71 $9,566.44 +$1,025.78
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 9:45am ET $116.18 82 $9,526.76
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 10:20am ET $127.80 82 $10,479.60 $10,519.28 +$952.84
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 10:40am ET $126.50 83 $10,499.50
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 10:40am ET $120.03 83 $9,962.49 $9,982.27 $-537.01
(-5.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 9:30am ET $126.80 78 $9,890.34
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET $115.38 78 $8,999.64 $9,091.57 $-890.70
(-9.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET $117.03 77 $9,011.68
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $128.75 77 $9,913.75 $9,993.64 +$902.07
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET $129.50 77 $9,971.12
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 9:30am ET $153.17 77 $11,794.46 $11,816.99 +$1,823.34
(+18.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET $153.49 76 $11,665.24
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 10:20am ET $168.84 76 $12,831.84 $12,983.59 +$1,166.60
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 10:25am ET $161.02 80 $12,881.60
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 11:40am ET $177.63 80 $14,210.40 $14,312.39 +$1,328.80
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 11:45am ET $183.90 77 $14,160.15
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET $203.80 77 $15,692.60 $15,844.83 +$1,532.45
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:35am ET $198.81 79 $15,705.60
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 10:55am ET $219.00 79 $17,301.00 $17,440.24 +$1,595.41
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 11:15am ET $218.94 79 $17,295.87
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $241.42 79 $19,072.18 $19,216.55 +$1,776.32
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:45am ET $235.15 81 $19,046.95
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $204.18 81 $16,538.58 $16,708.18 $-2,508.37
(-13.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $239.39 69 $16,517.91
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 10:15am ET $263.47 69 $18,179.43 $18,369.70 +$1,661.52
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:30am ET $260.75 70 $18,252.49
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET $239.47 70 $16,762.90 $16,880.11 $-1,489.59
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:50am ET $265.64 63 $16,735.09
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 2:45pm ET $292.31 63 $18,415.53 $18,560.55 +$1,680.44
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 2:45pm ET $294.36 63 $18,544.68
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $325.68 63 $20,517.84 $20,533.71 +$1,973.16
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $341.59 60 $20,495.40
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $377.51 60 $22,650.30 $22,688.61 +$2,154.90
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET $382.93 59 $22,593.16
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $424.78 59 $25,062.01 $25,157.46 +$2,468.86
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $436.58 57 $24,885.06
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET $400.42 57 $22,823.71 $23,096.11 $-2,061.35
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $367.34 62 $22,775.08
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $384.19 62 $23,819.78 $24,140.81 +$1,044.70
(+4.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:25am ET $421.36 57 $24,017.52
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:35am ET $398.74 57 $22,728.24 $22,851.53 $-1,289.28
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET $401.34 56 $22,475.04
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $381.21 56 $21,347.77 $21,724.26 $-1,127.27
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $400.79 54 $21,642.66
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $446.54 54 $24,113.16 $24,194.76 +$2,470.50
(+11.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET $450.13 53 $23,856.63
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:55am ET $426.03 53 $22,579.59 $22,917.72 $-1,277.04
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $348.28 65 $22,638.20
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $384.09 65 $24,965.85 $25,245.37 +$2,327.65
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 60 $24,851.10
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $455.62 60 $27,337.20 $27,731.47 +$2,486.10
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET $478.04 58 $27,726.32
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET $526.32 58 $30,526.27 $30,531.42 +$2,799.95
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
30 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $539.99 56 $30,239.72
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $609.37 56 $34,124.72 $34,416.42 +$3,885.00
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $34,416.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$24,416.42
Total Return: +244.16%
Back to Momo Momentum