RIOT Momo Momentum's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 40 trades in period
+71.65%
Last Year Return
$18,253.55
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$10,634.20
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
31
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.6/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
3.5/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
33.4/100
× Confidence 0.92
= 30.8
30-Day Momentum
65
+48.9%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
4.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 92.9
Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+35 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
38,269
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$10,634.20
Current Value
$18,253.55
Period P&L
$7,619.38
Max Drawdown
-44.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
21 /
19
Best Trade
+16.37%
Worst Trade
-16.45%
Avg Trade Return
+1.86%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,187,076.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,619.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,619.38
Gross Return
+71.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+71.65%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $10,634.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $7.98 | 1,314 | $10,479.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 9:45am ET | $8.82 | 1,314 | $11,589.48 | $11,593.40 |
+$1,110.33 (+10.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 9:45am ET | $8.84 | 1,312 | $11,591.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 2:20pm ET | $8.12 | 1,312 | $10,653.57 | $10,655.45 |
$-937.95 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 2:20pm ET | $8.07 | 1,321 | $10,653.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 12:30pm ET | $8.88 | 1,321 | $11,723.88 | $11,725.46 |
+$1,070.01 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 1:05pm ET | $9.46 | 1,239 | $11,719.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 3:10pm ET | $10.41 | 1,239 | $12,900.96 | $12,907.35 |
+$1,181.88 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2025 3:15pm ET | $10.62 | 1,215 | $12,904.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 12:45pm ET | $9.76 | 1,215 | $11,852.33 | $11,855.40 |
$-1,051.95 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 12:45pm ET | $9.82 | 1,207 | $11,846.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 12:20pm ET | $9.00 | 1,207 | $10,859.50 | $10,868.19 |
$-987.21 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 12:35pm ET | $9.75 | 1,114 | $10,861.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2025 12:30pm ET | $10.74 | 1,114 | $11,969.71 | $11,976.40 |
+$1,108.21 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 12:50pm ET | $11.40 | 1,051 | $11,976.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $12.69 | 1,051 | $13,331.94 | $13,331.98 |
+$1,355.58 (+11.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 12:35pm ET | $11.42 | 1,167 | $13,321.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 12:20pm ET | $12.56 | 1,167 | $14,657.52 | $14,668.20 |
+$1,336.22 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 11, 2025 12:40pm ET | $12.67 | 1,158 | $14,666.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 9:55am ET | $14.02 | 1,158 | $16,235.16 | $16,237.29 |
+$1,569.09 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 10:05am ET | $14.71 | 1,104 | $16,234.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 11:35am ET | $13.51 | 1,104 | $14,915.04 | $14,918.01 |
$-1,319.28 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 11:45am ET | $13.70 | 1,089 | $14,913.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $11.44 | 1,089 | $12,461.10 | $12,465.25 |
$-2,452.75 (-16.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 9:35am ET | $13.77 | 905 | $12,457.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 2:25pm ET | $15.17 | 905 | $13,724.33 | $13,732.25 |
+$1,267.00 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 3:00pm ET | $16.28 | 843 | $13,719.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 11:45am ET | $17.91 | 843 | $15,093.92 | $15,106.34 |
+$1,374.09 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 11:55am ET | $18.00 | 839 | $15,102.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $19.87 | 839 | $16,670.93 | $16,675.27 |
+$1,568.93 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $16.74 | 995 | $16,659.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 9:40am ET | $18.49 | 995 | $18,392.58 | $18,408.06 |
+$1,732.79 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 9:50am ET | $19.46 | 945 | $18,389.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 10:30am ET | $21.41 | 945 | $20,231.41 | $20,249.77 |
+$1,841.71 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $21.15 | 957 | $20,240.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $23.88 | 957 | $22,848.38 | $22,857.60 |
+$2,607.83 (+12.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $21.19 | 1,078 | $22,837.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $19.22 | 1,078 | $20,713.77 | $20,733.94 |
$-2,123.66 (-9.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $20.86 | 993 | $20,713.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 11:25am ET | $19.08 | 993 | $18,946.44 | $18,966.40 |
$-1,767.54 (-8.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 11:40am ET | $20.40 | 929 | $18,951.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 11:35am ET | $22.46 | 929 | $20,860.70 | $20,875.49 |
+$1,909.10 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 11:40am ET | $22.68 | 920 | $20,865.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 11:45am ET | $20.75 | 920 | $19,091.84 | $19,101.73 |
$-1,773.76 (-8.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 11:45am ET | $20.04 | 953 | $19,098.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $18.31 | 953 | $17,449.43 | $17,453.14 |
$-1,648.59 (-8.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $16.15 | 1,080 | $17,442.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:45am ET | $14.65 | 1,080 | $15,822.00 | $15,833.14 |
$-1,620.00 (-9.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $14.83 | 1,067 | $15,826.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $13.61 | 1,067 | $14,522.94 | $14,529.16 |
$-1,303.98 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.71 | 869 | $14,520.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $18.40 | 869 | $15,989.60 | $15,997.77 |
+$1,468.61 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $18.01 | 888 | $15,992.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $16.57 | 888 | $14,709.72 | $14,715.32 |
$-1,282.45 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $16.63 | 885 | $14,713.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.08 | 885 | $13,345.80 | $13,347.99 |
$-1,367.33 (-9.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $15.66 | 852 | $13,342.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:35pm ET | $17.28 | 852 | $14,719.41 | $14,725.08 |
+$1,377.09 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $16.77 | 878 | $14,724.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.92 | 878 | $13,977.76 | $13,978.78 |
$-746.30 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $16.35 | 854 | $13,962.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $15.39 | 854 | $13,138.96 | $13,154.84 |
$-823.94 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $15.07 | 872 | $13,145.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $14.31 | 872 | $12,482.68 | $12,492.12 |
$-662.72 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $15.45 | 808 | $12,483.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 12:05pm ET | $14.67 | 808 | $11,853.44 | $11,861.96 |
$-630.16 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $13.95 | 850 | $11,857.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $13.06 | 850 | $11,100.92 | $11,105.29 |
$-756.67 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET | $12.35 | 899 | $11,098.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $13.63 | 899 | $12,253.46 | $12,260.59 |
+$1,155.30 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.49 | 791 | $12,252.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 12:20pm ET | $17.04 | 791 | $13,478.64 | $13,486.64 |
+$1,226.05 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $17.00 | 793 | $13,481.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $18.78 | 793 | $14,896.50 | $14,902.14 |
+$1,415.50 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.53 | 850 | $14,900.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $16.52 | 850 | $14,039.87 | $14,041.51 |
$-860.63 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $16.63 | 844 | $14,034.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.58 | 844 | $15,681.52 | $15,688.15 |
+$1,646.64 (+11.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.40 | 808 | $15,671.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.57 | 808 | $18,236.56 | $18,253.55 |
+$2,565.40 (+16.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$18,253.55
Net Profit/Loss:
+$8,253.55
Total Return:
+82.54%