Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:23:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 7.3/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 6.5

30-Day Momentum

13
+4.0%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.0 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,085
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$6,645.72
Current Value
$9,524.22
Period P&L
$2,878.48
Max Drawdown
-72.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
12 / 9
Best Trade
+12.36%
Worst Trade
-18.29%
Avg Trade Return
+1.92%
Avg Hold Time
8.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$329,038.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,878.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,878.48
Gross Return
+43.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+43.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $6,645.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:35am ET $33.11 212 $7,019.32
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 10:15am ET $36.75 212 $7,791.00 $7,803.25 +$771.68
(+11.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 10:35am ET $44.51 175 $7,789.22
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $40.06 175 $7,010.50 $7,024.53 $-778.71
(-10.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $40.99 171 $7,008.44
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET $42.15 171 $7,207.65 $7,223.75 +$199.22
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 9:30am ET $45.60 158 $7,204.01
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 12:25pm ET $41.81 158 $6,605.82 $6,625.56 $-598.19
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 9:30am ET $46.90 141 $6,613.06
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET $51.79 141 $7,302.39 $7,314.89 +$689.33
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
19d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 9:35am ET $52.93 138 $7,303.93
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 10:40am ET $58.63 138 $8,090.25 $8,101.22 +$786.32
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 10:40am ET $60.89 133 $8,097.97
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET $55.82 133 $7,424.06 $7,427.31 $-673.91
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 9:40am ET $58.43 127 $7,420.61
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET $47.75 127 $6,063.62 $6,070.31 $-1,357.00
(-18.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $44.99 134 $6,027.99
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 11:20am ET $49.51 134 $6,634.51 $6,676.84 +$606.52
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 11:25am ET $51.94 128 $6,648.32
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 9:40am ET $57.21 128 $7,322.56 $7,351.08 +$674.24
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 10:15am ET $56.28 130 $7,316.40
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:35am ET $51.75 130 $6,727.50 $6,762.18 $-588.90
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 10:40am ET $48.69 138 $6,719.22
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 12:10pm ET $53.69 138 $7,409.22 $7,452.18 +$690.00
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $30.52 244 $7,446.88
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $33.99 244 $8,293.56 $8,298.86 +$846.68
(+11.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $31.68 261 $8,268.48
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $33.47 261 $8,736.97 $8,767.35 +$468.49
(+5.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $31.59 277 $8,750.43
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET $29.96 277 $8,298.89 $8,315.81 $-451.54
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET $21.57 385 $8,304.53
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:10am ET $23.75 385 $9,143.75 $9,155.03 +$839.22
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:15am ET $23.09 396 $9,143.64
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $21.91 396 $8,676.36 $8,687.75 $-467.28
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.03 361 $8,674.83
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $27.00 361 $9,747.00 $9,759.92 +$1,072.17
(+12.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:25am ET $28.10 347 $9,750.70
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $26.51 347 $9,198.97 $9,208.19 $-551.73
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET $28.61 321 $9,183.81
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $26.73 321 $8,578.73 $8,603.10 $-605.09
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
21 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $28.32 303 $8,580.96
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 303 $9,502.08 $9,524.22 +$921.12
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,524.22
Net Profit/Loss: $-475.78
Total Return: -4.76%
Back to Momo Momentum