SOXL Momo Momentum's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 49 trades in period
+196.10%
Last Year Return
$10,021.48
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$3,384.57
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
7
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.7/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
7.7/100
× Confidence 0.95
= 7.3
30-Day Momentum
74
+93.7%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
7
Trades
3.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 95.7
Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+67 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,203
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
251 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$3,384.57
Current Value
$10,021.48
Period P&L
$6,636.98
Max Drawdown
-71.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
27 /
22
Best Trade
+29.21%
Worst Trade
-13.17%
Avg Trade Return
+2.85%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$510,638.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,636.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,636.98
Gross Return
+196.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+196.10%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 251 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $3,384.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $13.17 | 261 | $3,436.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $16.93 | 261 | $4,418.73 | $4,429.86 |
+$982.67 (+28.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 9:45am ET | $17.71 | 250 | $4,426.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $15.50 | 250 | $3,875.00 | $3,878.61 |
$-551.25 (-12.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 11:00am ET | $17.29 | 224 | $3,871.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $15.64 | 224 | $3,503.38 | $3,510.15 |
$-368.46 (-9.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:40am ET | $16.68 | 210 | $3,501.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $19.12 | 210 | $4,014.15 | $4,022.55 |
+$512.40 (+14.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $19.51 | 206 | $4,019.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $21.84 | 206 | $4,498.40 | $4,501.91 |
+$479.36 (+11.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $21.84 | 206 | $4,499.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 10:35am ET | $19.93 | 206 | $4,105.58 | $4,108.45 |
$-393.46 (-8.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 10:45am ET | $21.79 | 188 | $4,096.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 11:05am ET | $23.97 | 188 | $4,506.94 | $4,519.27 |
+$410.82 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 11:20am ET | $24.45 | 184 | $4,497.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.61 | 184 | $5,080.24 | $5,101.63 |
+$582.36 (+12.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.33 | 186 | $5,083.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 12:50pm ET | $25.05 | 186 | $4,658.37 | $4,676.62 |
$-425.01 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 12:50pm ET | $26.18 | 178 | $4,660.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $23.80 | 178 | $4,236.42 | $4,253.00 |
$-423.62 (-9.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.78 | 147 | $4,230.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 9:50am ET | $26.47 | 147 | $3,891.09 | $3,913.38 |
$-339.61 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.37 | 137 | $3,886.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $25.95 | 137 | $3,554.94 | $3,581.62 |
$-331.76 (-8.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 9:40am ET | $27.06 | 132 | $3,571.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 9:40am ET | $29.78 | 132 | $3,930.96 | $3,940.66 |
+$359.04 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 9:40am ET | $30.15 | 130 | $3,919.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.56 | 130 | $4,362.15 | $4,383.31 |
+$442.65 (+11.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 9:35am ET | $32.83 | 133 | $4,365.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $36.14 | 133 | $4,806.62 | $4,824.21 |
+$440.90 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $39.01 | 123 | $4,797.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 9:35am ET | $42.92 | 123 | $5,279.16 | $5,305.75 |
+$481.55 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $39.41 | 134 | $5,280.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 3:35pm ET | $43.45 | 134 | $5,822.23 | $5,847.05 |
+$541.29 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 3:50pm ET | $42.63 | 137 | $5,840.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $37.42 | 137 | $5,125.94 | $5,132.67 |
$-714.37 (-12.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.76 | 132 | $5,116.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.64 | 132 | $5,628.47 | $5,644.82 |
+$512.15 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.34 | 136 | $5,622.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $37.06 | 136 | $5,040.16 | $5,062.17 |
$-582.65 (-10.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 9:50am ET | $41.28 | 122 | $5,036.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.37 | 122 | $5,656.53 | $5,682.42 |
+$620.25 (+12.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 9:45am ET | $47.27 | 120 | $5,672.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 10:50am ET | $43.03 | 120 | $5,163.60 | $5,173.62 |
$-508.80 (-9.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.54 | 116 | $5,167.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.89 | 116 | $4,626.72 | $4,633.17 |
$-540.44 (-10.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET | $45.16 | 102 | $4,606.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.22 | 102 | $3,999.93 | $4,026.39 |
$-606.78 (-13.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.98 | 85 | $3,992.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.21 | 85 | $3,587.82 | $3,621.34 |
$-405.05 (-10.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.77 | 101 | $3,612.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.07 | 101 | $4,249.07 | $4,257.62 |
+$636.28 (+17.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 10:35am ET | $43.25 | 98 | $4,238.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $47.57 | 98 | $4,661.86 | $4,681.47 |
+$423.85 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $53.47 | 87 | $4,651.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.78 | 87 | $5,200.69 | $5,230.27 |
+$548.80 (+11.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $60.95 | 85 | $5,180.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $67.14 | 85 | $5,706.90 | $5,756.42 |
+$526.15 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:10pm ET | $71.94 | 80 | $5,755.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.77 | 80 | $5,101.20 | $5,102.34 |
$-654.08 (-11.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $65.67 | 77 | $5,056.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $60.31 | 77 | $4,643.49 | $4,689.24 |
$-413.10 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $50.88 | 92 | $4,680.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.49 | 92 | $5,289.54 | $5,297.81 |
+$608.58 (+13.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $62.27 | 85 | $5,292.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $64.17 | 85 | $5,454.25 | $5,459.11 |
+$161.30 (+3.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.72 | 80 | $5,417.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $63.62 | 80 | $5,089.20 | $5,130.89 |
$-328.22 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $64.46 | 79 | $5,092.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.14 | 79 | $5,620.06 | $5,658.61 |
+$527.72 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:55am ET | $55.26 | 102 | $5,636.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $52.13 | 102 | $5,317.77 | $5,340.37 |
$-318.24 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $48.13 | 110 | $5,293.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $53.13 | 110 | $5,844.30 | $5,890.92 |
+$550.55 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $57.19 | 103 | $5,890.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.60 | 103 | $5,521.31 | $5,521.66 |
$-369.25 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $53.50 | 103 | $5,510.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $50.60 | 103 | $5,211.80 | $5,222.96 |
$-298.70 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $52.97 | 98 | $5,191.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:20pm ET | $50.04 | 98 | $4,904.41 | $4,936.31 |
$-286.65 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 11:15am ET | $55.00 | 89 | $4,895.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $52.22 | 89 | $4,648.02 | $4,689.33 |
$-246.98 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.83 | 109 | $4,667.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 2:40pm ET | $47.28 | 109 | $5,153.52 | $5,174.92 |
+$485.59 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $51.58 | 100 | $5,158.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.65 | 100 | $6,664.86 | $6,681.78 |
+$1,506.86 (+29.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $69.81 | 95 | $6,631.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $77.22 | 95 | $7,335.90 | $7,385.73 |
+$703.95 (+10.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.04 | 88 | $7,307.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.75 | 88 | $8,162.00 | $8,240.21 |
+$854.48 (+11.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.94 | 80 | $8,235.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $113.27 | 80 | $9,061.60 | $9,066.61 |
+$826.40 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $124.46 | 72 | $8,961.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.29 | 72 | $7,797.02 | $7,902.37 |
$-1,164.24 (-13.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $116.35 | 67 | $7,795.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $128.51 | 67 | $8,610.10 | $8,717.02 |
+$814.65 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.62 | 64 | $8,679.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.00 | 64 | $9,984.00 | $10,021.48 |
+$1,304.46 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,021.48
Net Profit/Loss:
+$21.48
Total Return:
+0.21%