Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:59:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
27.6/35
Total Return
19.8/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 61.1/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 53.1

30-Day Momentum

21
+9.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 32.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,800
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$27,927.02
Current Value
$32,120.36
Period P&L
$4,193.35
Max Drawdown
-30.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+11.46%
Worst Trade
-5.42%
Avg Trade Return
+2.05%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$517,455.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,193.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,193.35
Gross Return
+15.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $27,927.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.23 234 $27,899.87
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $124.78 234 $29,198.52 $29,225.66 +$1,298.65
(+4.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $128.59 227 $29,189.93
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:20am ET $122.16 227 $27,729.53 $27,765.26 $-1,460.40
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $137.83 201 $27,703.83
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $152.91 201 $30,735.91 $30,797.34 +$3,032.08
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET $145.30 211 $30,658.30
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $161.95 211 $34,171.45 $34,310.49 +$3,513.15
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:25am ET $186.49 183 $34,127.67
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:50am ET $205.57 183 $37,620.22 $37,803.04 +$3,492.55
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:50am ET $229.64 164 $37,660.96
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $217.30 164 $35,637.20 $35,779.28 $-2,023.76
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $214.01 167 $35,739.67
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:25am ET $202.41 167 $33,802.47 $33,842.08 $-1,937.20
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $228.92 147 $33,650.86
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:05am ET $217.21 147 $31,929.14 $32,120.36 $-1,721.72
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $32,120.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$22,120.36
Total Return: +221.20%
Back to Momo Momentum