Compendium › Momo Momentum › ARKK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ARKK
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 3 trades in period

-17.83%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,638.76
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$14,164.69
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:00:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 22.3/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 15.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,149
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,164.69
Current Value
$11,638.76
Period P&L
$-2,525.92
Max Drawdown
-23.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-5.22

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-5.20%
Worst Trade
-8.03%
Avg Trade Return
-6.35%
Avg Hold Time
12.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$76,840.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,525.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,525.92
Gross Return
-17.83%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $14,164.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:40am ET $82.32 172 $14,158.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $77.53 172 $13,335.16 $13,341.65 $-823.02
(-5.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $81.94 162 $13,274.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $75.36 162 $12,208.32 $12,275.68 $-1,065.98
(-8.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $72.92 168 $12,250.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $69.13 168 $11,613.84 $11,638.76 $-636.92
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,638.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,638.76
Total Return: +16.39%
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