Compendium › Momo Momentum › MARA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MARA
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 17 trades in period

-23.76%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,128.12
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$6,726.51
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 14:05:51

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

21
+8.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 32.0 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,352
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,726.51
Current Value
$5,128.12
Period P&L
$-1,598.34
Max Drawdown
-54.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
5 / 12
Best Trade
+13.73%
Worst Trade
-8.23%
Avg Trade Return
-1.26%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$178,701.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,598.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,598.34
Gross Return
-23.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $6,726.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET $10.79 623 $6,719.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:15am ET $9.91 623 $6,170.82 $6,178.23 $-548.24
(-8.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.62 582 $6,177.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $9.77 582 $5,683.23 $5,683.53 $-494.70
(-8.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET $9.61 591 $5,676.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET $8.81 591 $5,209.49 $5,216.46 $-467.07
(-8.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $8.36 623 $5,211.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $7.78 623 $4,850.05 $4,855.12 $-361.34
(-6.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $7.41 655 $4,851.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $8.15 655 $5,341.52 $5,345.65 +$490.53
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:05am ET $7.87 679 $5,343.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:45pm ET $7.47 679 $5,075.52 $5,077.44 $-268.20
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:00am ET $8.51 596 $5,071.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $9.68 596 $5,768.09 $5,773.57 +$696.13
(+13.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:50am ET $9.60 601 $5,769.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $9.03 601 $5,427.03 $5,431.06 $-342.51
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET $9.20 590 $5,428.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET $8.65 590 $5,100.55 $5,103.61 $-327.45
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:25am ET $8.33 612 $5,097.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.23 612 $5,645.70 $5,651.41 +$547.80
(+10.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET $8.95 631 $5,647.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $8.49 631 $5,360.34 $5,364.37 $-287.04
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $8.57 625 $5,359.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $8.00 625 $5,000.00 $5,005.00 $-359.37
(-6.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $8.10 617 $5,000.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $7.68 617 $4,738.50 $4,742.71 $-262.29
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $9.02 525 $4,738.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET $8.56 525 $4,496.62 $4,501.21 $-241.50
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET $9.38 479 $4,493.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $10.35 479 $4,957.60 $4,965.79 +$464.58
(+10.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $11.60 428 $4,962.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 428 $4,609.56 $4,612.69 $-353.10
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $11.11 414 $4,601.61 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $12.36 414 $5,117.04 $5,128.12 +$515.43
(+11.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,128.12
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,871.88
Total Return: -48.72%
Back to Momo Momentum