Compendium › Momo Momentum › MRK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRK
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-12-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-2.79%
Last 6 Months Return
$7,067.40
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$7,270.50
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 16:53:38

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality 2.5/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 1.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,351
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,270.50
Current Value
$7,067.40
Period P&L
$-203.10
Max Drawdown
-39.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+10.25%
Worst Trade
-5.13%
Avg Trade Return
+1.31%
Avg Hold Time
14d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$58,107.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-203.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-203.10
Gross Return
-2.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $7,270.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 1:05pm ET $97.36 69 $6,717.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $107.34 69 $7,406.46 $7,438.86 +$688.62
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET $107.86 68 $7,334.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $108.30 68 $7,364.40 $7,468.78 +$29.92
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $117.77 63 $7,419.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $117.45 63 $7,399.14 $7,448.35 $-20.43
(-0.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
6.3d held
4 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:10am ET $121.69 61 $7,423.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:15am ET $115.44 61 $7,042.14 $7,067.40 $-380.95
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,067.40
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,932.60
Total Return: -29.33%
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