Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.0/35
Total Return
19.8/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
6.6/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 55.3/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 48.2

30-Day Momentum

55
+36.3%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.0 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,233
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,216.56
Current Value
$34,416.42
Period P&L
$15,199.88
Max Drawdown
-53.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
11 / 6
Best Trade
+12.85%
Worst Trade
-13.17%
Avg Trade Return
+3.89%
Avg Hold Time
6.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$769,785.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$15,199.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$15,199.88
Gross Return
+79.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+79.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $19,216.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:45am ET $235.15 81 $19,046.95
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $204.18 81 $16,538.58 $16,708.18 $-2,508.37
(-13.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $239.39 69 $16,517.91
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 10:15am ET $263.47 69 $18,179.43 $18,369.70 +$1,661.52
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:30am ET $260.75 70 $18,252.49
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET $239.47 70 $16,762.90 $16,880.11 $-1,489.59
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:50am ET $265.64 63 $16,735.09
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 2:45pm ET $292.31 63 $18,415.53 $18,560.55 +$1,680.44
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 2:45pm ET $294.36 63 $18,544.68
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $325.68 63 $20,517.84 $20,533.71 +$1,973.16
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $341.59 60 $20,495.40
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $377.51 60 $22,650.30 $22,688.61 +$2,154.90
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET $382.93 59 $22,593.16
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $424.78 59 $25,062.01 $25,157.46 +$2,468.86
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $436.58 57 $24,885.06
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET $400.42 57 $22,823.71 $23,096.11 $-2,061.35
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $367.34 62 $22,775.08
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $384.19 62 $23,819.78 $24,140.81 +$1,044.70
(+4.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:25am ET $421.36 57 $24,017.52
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:35am ET $398.74 57 $22,728.24 $22,851.53 $-1,289.28
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET $401.34 56 $22,475.04
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $381.21 56 $21,347.77 $21,724.26 $-1,127.27
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $400.79 54 $21,642.66
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $446.54 54 $24,113.16 $24,194.76 +$2,470.50
(+11.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET $450.13 53 $23,856.63
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:55am ET $426.03 53 $22,579.59 $22,917.72 $-1,277.04
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $348.28 65 $22,638.20
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $384.09 65 $24,965.85 $25,245.37 +$2,327.65
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 60 $24,851.10
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $455.62 60 $27,337.20 $27,731.47 +$2,486.10
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET $478.04 58 $27,726.32
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET $526.32 58 $30,526.27 $30,531.42 +$2,799.95
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
17 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $539.99 56 $30,239.72
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $609.37 56 $34,124.72 $34,416.42 +$3,885.00
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $34,416.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$24,416.42
Total Return: +244.16%
Back to Momo Momentum