Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:23:30

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.6/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
3.5/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 33.4/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 30.8

30-Day Momentum

65
+48.9%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
4.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 92.9 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+35 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,954
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,453.17
Current Value
$18,253.55
Period P&L
$800.41
Max Drawdown
-44.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+16.37%
Worst Trade
-9.29%
Avg Trade Return
+0.67%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$479,699.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$800.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$800.41
Gross Return
+4.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $17,453.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:40am ET $16.15 1,080 $17,442.00
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:45am ET $14.65 1,080 $15,822.00 $15,833.14 $-1,620.00
(-9.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $14.83 1,067 $15,826.92
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET $13.61 1,067 $14,522.94 $14,529.16 $-1,303.98
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $16.71 869 $14,520.99
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET $18.40 869 $15,989.60 $15,997.77 +$1,468.61
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET $18.01 888 $15,992.17
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET $16.57 888 $14,709.72 $14,715.32 $-1,282.45
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:05am ET $16.63 885 $14,713.13
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $15.08 885 $13,345.80 $13,347.99 $-1,367.33
(-9.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET $15.66 852 $13,342.32
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $17.28 852 $14,719.41 $14,725.08 +$1,377.09
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 11:05am ET $16.77 878 $14,724.06
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $15.92 878 $13,977.76 $13,978.78 $-746.30
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:10am ET $16.35 854 $13,962.90
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $15.39 854 $13,138.96 $13,154.84 $-823.94
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET $15.07 872 $13,145.40
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET $14.31 872 $12,482.68 $12,492.12 $-662.72
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:45am ET $15.45 808 $12,483.60
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $14.67 808 $11,853.44 $11,861.96 $-630.16
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET $13.95 850 $11,857.58
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $13.06 850 $11,100.92 $11,105.29 $-756.67
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $12.35 899 $11,098.16
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET $13.63 899 $12,253.46 $12,260.59 +$1,155.30
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $15.49 791 $12,252.59
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $17.04 791 $13,478.64 $13,486.64 +$1,226.05
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:05am ET $17.00 793 $13,481.00
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET $18.78 793 $14,896.50 $14,902.14 +$1,415.50
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.53 850 $14,900.50
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $16.52 850 $14,039.87 $14,041.51 $-860.63
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $16.63 844 $14,034.88
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $18.58 844 $15,681.52 $15,688.15 +$1,646.64
(+11.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
17 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $19.40 808 $15,671.16
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $22.57 808 $18,236.56 $18,253.55 +$2,565.40
(+16.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,253.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,253.55
Total Return: +82.54%
Back to Momo Momentum