Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 14:06:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.6/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
4.1/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 32.1/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 24.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,081
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,280.92
Current Value
$16,721.63
Period P&L
$-2,559.28
Max Drawdown
-35.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+10.94%
Worst Trade
-11.64%
Avg Trade Return
-0.80%
Avg Hold Time
5.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$453,390.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,559.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,559.28
Gross Return
-13.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $19,280.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:35am ET $15.10 1,262 $19,056.20
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 12:55pm ET $16.64 1,262 $20,999.68 $21,009.85 +$1,943.48
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 12:55pm ET $17.30 1,214 $20,996.13
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $15.52 1,214 $18,841.28 $18,855.00 $-2,154.85
(-10.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $14.89 1,266 $18,844.41
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 2:10pm ET $16.38 1,266 $20,734.17 $20,744.76 +$1,889.76
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:40am ET $17.14 1,210 $20,733.47
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:50am ET $19.01 1,210 $23,002.22 $23,013.51 +$2,268.75
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:50am ET $18.81 1,223 $23,004.63
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET $20.84 1,223 $25,487.32 $25,496.20 +$2,482.69
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $22.31 1,142 $25,478.02
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $20.43 1,142 $23,331.06 $23,349.24 $-2,146.96
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $20.23 1,154 $23,345.42
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.88 1,154 $20,627.75 $20,631.57 $-2,717.67
(-11.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:55am ET $15.40 1,340 $20,629.30
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $14.62 1,340 $19,590.80 $19,593.07 $-1,038.50
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $16.71 1,172 $19,584.12
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $15.86 1,172 $18,593.78 $18,602.73 $-990.34
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $16.53 1,125 $18,596.25
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:05pm ET $15.65 1,125 $17,600.74 $17,607.22 $-995.51
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET $15.70 1,121 $17,599.70
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $14.91 1,121 $16,714.11 $16,721.63 $-885.59
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,721.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,721.63
Total Return: +67.22%
Back to Momo Momentum