Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:23:33

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.7/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 7.7/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 7.3

30-Day Momentum

74
+93.7%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
7
Trades
3.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 95.7 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+67 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,765
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,043.22
Current Value
$10,021.48
Period P&L
$4,978.33
Max Drawdown
-71.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
15 / 12
Best Trade
+29.21%
Worst Trade
-13.17%
Avg Trade Return
+3.09%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$310,046.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,978.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,978.33
Gross Return
+98.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+98.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $5,043.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $44.54 116 $5,167.16
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $39.89 116 $4,626.72 $4,633.17 $-540.44
(-10.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET $45.16 102 $4,606.71
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $39.22 102 $3,999.93 $4,026.39 $-606.78
(-13.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $46.98 85 $3,992.88
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $42.21 85 $3,587.82 $3,621.34 $-405.05
(-10.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $35.77 101 $3,612.79
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET $42.07 101 $4,249.07 $4,257.62 +$636.28
(+17.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:35am ET $43.25 98 $4,238.01
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $47.57 98 $4,661.86 $4,681.47 +$423.85
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $53.47 87 $4,651.89
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $59.78 87 $5,200.69 $5,230.27 +$548.80
(+11.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:30am ET $60.95 85 $5,180.75
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:45am ET $67.14 85 $5,706.90 $5,756.42 +$526.15
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $71.94 80 $5,755.28
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $63.77 80 $5,101.20 $5,102.34 $-654.08
(-11.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:40am ET $65.67 77 $5,056.59
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $60.31 77 $4,643.49 $4,689.24 $-413.10
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $50.88 92 $4,680.96
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.49 92 $5,289.54 $5,297.81 +$608.58
(+13.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:50am ET $62.27 85 $5,292.95
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $64.17 85 $5,454.25 $5,459.11 +$161.30
(+3.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $67.72 80 $5,417.42
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $63.62 80 $5,089.20 $5,130.89 $-328.22
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:25am ET $64.46 79 $5,092.34
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $71.14 79 $5,620.06 $5,658.61 +$527.72
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:55am ET $55.26 102 $5,636.01
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $52.13 102 $5,317.77 $5,340.37 $-318.24
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:10am ET $48.13 110 $5,293.75
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $53.13 110 $5,844.30 $5,890.92 +$550.55
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 10:50am ET $57.19 103 $5,890.57
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $53.60 103 $5,521.31 $5,521.66 $-369.25
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET $53.50 103 $5,510.50
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:40am ET $50.60 103 $5,211.80 $5,222.96 $-298.70
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET $52.97 98 $5,191.06
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $50.04 98 $4,904.41 $4,936.31 $-286.65
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 11:15am ET $55.00 89 $4,895.00
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET $52.22 89 $4,648.02 $4,689.33 $-246.98
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $42.83 109 $4,667.93
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:40pm ET $47.28 109 $5,153.52 $5,174.92 +$485.59
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:05am ET $51.58 100 $5,158.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $66.65 100 $6,664.86 $6,681.78 +$1,506.86
(+29.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $69.81 95 $6,631.95
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $77.22 95 $7,335.90 $7,385.73 +$703.95
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $83.04 88 $7,307.52
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $92.75 88 $8,162.00 $8,240.21 +$854.48
(+11.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $102.94 80 $8,235.20
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $113.27 80 $9,061.60 $9,066.61 +$826.40
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $124.46 72 $8,961.26
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $108.29 72 $7,797.02 $7,902.37 $-1,164.24
(-13.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:30am ET $116.35 67 $7,795.45
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $128.51 67 $8,610.10 $8,717.02 +$814.65
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
27 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $135.62 64 $8,679.54
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $156.00 64 $9,984.00 $10,021.48 +$1,304.46
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,021.48
Net Profit/Loss: +$21.48
Total Return: +0.21%
Back to Momo Momentum