Compendium › Momo Momentum › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-06-24 19:55:00+00 • 24 trades executed

-10.05%
2 Years Return
$9,696.71
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$10,779.93
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-24 16:47:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 7.4/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,637
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
521 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,779.93
Current Value
$9,696.71
Total P&L
$-1,083.23
Max Drawdown
-18.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
19
Winners / Losers
8 / 11
Best Trade
+10.02%
Worst Trade
-8.21%
Avg Trade Return
-0.46%
Avg Hold Time
19.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$423,790.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,083.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,083.23
Gross Return
-10.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 521 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $10,779.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2024 9:30am ET $237.46 45 $10,685.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2024 9:30am ET $254.95 45 $11,472.75 $11,566.99 +$787.05
(+7.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2024 9:40am ET $254.31 45 $11,443.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 11:00am ET $233.43 45 $10,504.35 $10,627.62 $-939.38
(-8.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2024 9:40am ET $260.91 40 $10,436.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2024 9:40am ET $267.59 40 $10,703.60 $10,894.82 +$267.20
(+2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2024 9:40am ET $268.33 40 $10,733.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 9:40am ET $271.93 40 $10,877.00 $11,038.62 +$143.80
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2024 9:35am ET $276.09 39 $10,767.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2024 9:30am ET $271.75 39 $10,598.25 $10,869.36 $-169.26
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2024 9:30am ET $289.93 37 $10,727.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 27, 2024 9:30am ET $307.57 37 $11,379.91 $11,521.85 +$652.50
(+6.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 29, 2024 9:30am ET $306.71 37 $11,348.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 9:30am ET $295.37 37 $10,928.51 $11,101.99 $-419.86
(-3.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2025 9:30am ET $316.40 35 $11,073.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2025 9:30am ET $316.12 35 $11,064.28 $11,092.44 $-9.55
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
9 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 9:35am ET $275.02 40 $11,000.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 1:05pm ET $302.57 40 $12,102.80 $12,194.44 +$1,102.00
(+10.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
10 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 1:05pm ET $300.41 40 $12,016.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 1:05pm ET $297.76 40 $11,910.20 $12,088.44 $-106.00
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 1:05pm ET $296.95 40 $11,878.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 1:05pm ET $306.88 40 $12,275.10 $12,485.54 +$397.10
(+3.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 9:40am ET $310.34 40 $12,413.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 9:40am ET $310.81 40 $12,432.20 $12,504.14 +$18.60
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 9:50am ET $314.30 39 $12,257.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET $288.88 39 $11,266.32 $11,512.76 $-991.38
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 9:50am ET $321.74 35 $11,260.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 9:50am ET $325.36 35 $11,387.43 $11,639.28 +$126.53
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 10:05am ET $336.44 34 $11,438.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 10:05am ET $330.18 34 $11,225.95 $11,426.44 $-212.84
(-1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
16 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET $360.45 31 $11,173.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $357.14 31 $11,071.19 $11,323.68 $-102.77
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $384.40 29 $11,147.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $368.40 29 $10,683.60 $10,859.82 $-463.86
(-4.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $381.17 28 $10,672.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $359.44 28 $10,064.32 $10,251.45 $-608.37
(-5.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:40am ET $321.30 31 $9,960.45 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $303.41 31 $9,405.71 $9,696.71 $-554.74
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
42d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,696.71
Net Profit/Loss: $-303.29
Total Return: -3.03%
Back to Momo Momentum