MU Momo Momentum's Analysis
2024-02-28 14:35:00+00 to 2026-05-07 15:20:00+00 • 50 trades executed
+178.65%
2 Years Return
$34,416.42
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$12,351.13
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
48
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
16.0/35
Total Return
19.8/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
6.6/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
55.3/100
× Confidence 0.87
= 48.2
30-Day Momentum
55
+36.3%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.0
Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,967
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
520 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2024-11-29 (no data), 2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$12,351.13
Current Value
$34,416.42
Total P&L
$22,065.31
Max Drawdown
-53.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
44
Winners / Losers
27 /
17
Best Trade
+18.29%
Worst Trade
-19.33%
Avg Trade Return
+2.87%
Avg Hold Time
8.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,377,430.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$22,065.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$22,065.31
Gross Return
+178.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+178.65%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 520 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $12,351.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $125.88 | 98 | $12,336.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $126.60 | 98 | $12,406.89 | $12,421.79 |
+$70.65 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $127.97 | 97 | $12,413.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2024 10:05am ET | $141.06 | 97 | $13,682.82 | $13,691.60 |
+$1,269.82 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2024 10:10am ET | $141.45 | 96 | $13,579.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2024 9:40am ET | $155.90 | 96 | $14,966.50 | $15,078.90 |
+$1,387.30 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2024 9:45am ET | $153.28 | 98 | $15,021.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 21, 2024 9:30am ET | $138.19 | 98 | $13,542.62 | $13,600.08 |
$-1,478.82 (-9.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2024 9:35am ET | $141.64 | 96 | $13,597.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $130.29 | 96 | $12,507.37 | $12,510.01 |
$-1,090.07 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2024 9:30am ET | $93.03 | 134 | $12,465.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 6, 2024 11:55am ET | $85.57 | 134 | $11,466.38 | $11,511.04 |
$-998.97 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 27, 2024 9:30am ET | $109.86 | 104 | $11,425.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2024 10:05am ET | $100.99 | 104 | $10,502.96 | $10,588.56 |
$-922.48 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2024 10:10am ET | $100.90 | 104 | $10,493.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $111.95 | 104 | $11,642.80 | $11,737.76 |
+$1,149.20 (+10.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 18, 2024 9:35am ET | $111.20 | 105 | $11,675.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 9:30am ET | $99.50 | 105 | $10,447.50 | $10,509.59 |
$-1,228.17 (-10.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2024 9:40am ET | $113.08 | 92 | $10,403.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2024 9:30am ET | $103.56 | 92 | $9,527.06 | $9,633.29 |
$-876.30 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $107.84 | 89 | $9,597.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 11:00am ET | $87.00 | 89 | $7,743.00 | $7,778.35 |
$-1,854.94 (-19.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $105.97 | 73 | $7,735.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $95.64 | 73 | $6,981.36 | $7,023.89 |
$-754.46 (-9.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2025 9:35am ET | $91.60 | 76 | $6,961.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $104.35 | 76 | $7,930.55 | $7,992.84 |
+$968.95 (+13.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2025 9:45am ET | $97.16 | 82 | $7,967.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.97 | 82 | $7,295.53 | $7,321.25 |
$-671.59 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:40am ET | $80.50 | 90 | $7,245.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $93.15 | 90 | $8,383.50 | $8,459.75 |
+$1,138.50 (+15.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 9:50am ET | $96.80 | 87 | $8,421.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 9:50am ET | $97.73 | 87 | $8,502.51 | $8,540.66 |
+$80.91 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 10:35am ET | $101.71 | 83 | $8,441.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $114.07 | 83 | $9,467.71 | $9,566.44 |
+$1,025.78 (+12.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2025 9:45am ET | $116.18 | 82 | $9,526.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 10:20am ET | $127.80 | 82 | $10,479.60 | $10,519.28 |
+$952.84 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 10:40am ET | $126.50 | 83 | $10,499.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 10:40am ET | $120.03 | 83 | $9,962.49 | $9,982.27 |
$-537.01 (-5.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $126.80 | 78 | $9,890.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET | $115.38 | 78 | $8,999.64 | $9,091.57 |
$-890.70 (-9.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $117.03 | 77 | $9,011.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $128.75 | 77 | $9,913.75 | $9,993.64 |
+$902.07 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $129.50 | 77 | $9,971.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $153.17 | 77 | $11,794.46 | $11,816.99 |
+$1,823.34 (+18.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $153.49 | 76 | $11,665.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 10:20am ET | $168.84 | 76 | $12,831.84 | $12,983.59 |
+$1,166.60 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 10:25am ET | $161.02 | 80 | $12,881.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 11:40am ET | $177.63 | 80 | $14,210.40 | $14,312.39 |
+$1,328.80 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 11:45am ET | $183.90 | 77 | $14,160.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $203.80 | 77 | $15,692.60 | $15,844.83 |
+$1,532.45 (+10.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $198.81 | 79 | $15,705.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:55am ET | $219.00 | 79 | $17,301.00 | $17,440.24 |
+$1,595.41 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 11:15am ET | $218.94 | 79 | $17,295.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $241.42 | 79 | $19,072.18 | $19,216.55 |
+$1,776.32 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:45am ET | $235.15 | 81 | $19,046.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $204.18 | 81 | $16,538.58 | $16,708.18 |
$-2,508.37 (-13.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $239.39 | 69 | $16,517.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 10:15am ET | $263.47 | 69 | $18,179.43 | $18,369.70 |
+$1,661.52 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 11:30am ET | $260.75 | 70 | $18,252.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $239.47 | 70 | $16,762.90 | $16,880.11 |
$-1,489.59 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 9:50am ET | $265.64 | 63 | $16,735.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 2:45pm ET | $292.31 | 63 | $18,415.53 | $18,560.55 |
+$1,680.44 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 2:45pm ET | $294.36 | 63 | $18,544.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $325.68 | 63 | $20,517.84 | $20,533.71 |
+$1,973.16 (+10.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $341.59 | 60 | $20,495.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $377.51 | 60 | $22,650.30 | $22,688.61 |
+$2,154.90 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $382.93 | 59 | $22,593.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.78 | 59 | $25,062.01 | $25,157.46 |
+$2,468.86 (+10.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $436.58 | 57 | $24,885.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $400.42 | 57 | $22,823.71 | $23,096.11 |
$-2,061.35 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $367.34 | 62 | $22,775.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $384.19 | 62 | $23,819.78 | $24,140.81 |
+$1,044.70 (+4.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $421.36 | 57 | $24,017.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $398.74 | 57 | $22,728.24 | $22,851.53 |
$-1,289.28 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $401.34 | 56 | $22,475.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $381.21 | 56 | $21,347.77 | $21,724.26 |
$-1,127.27 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $400.79 | 54 | $21,642.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $446.54 | 54 | $24,113.16 | $24,194.76 |
+$2,470.50 (+11.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $450.13 | 53 | $23,856.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $426.03 | 53 | $22,579.59 | $22,917.72 |
$-1,277.04 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $348.28 | 65 | $22,638.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $384.09 | 65 | $24,965.85 | $25,245.37 |
+$2,327.65 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.18 | 60 | $24,851.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $455.62 | 60 | $27,337.20 | $27,731.47 |
+$2,486.10 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $478.04 | 58 | $27,726.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $526.32 | 58 | $30,526.27 | $30,531.42 |
+$2,799.95 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $539.99 | 56 | $30,239.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $609.37 | 56 | $34,124.72 | $34,416.42 |
+$3,885.00 (+12.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$34,416.42
Net Profit/Loss:
+$24,416.42
Total Return:
+244.16%