Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 10:45:55

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 2.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,316
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,104.72
Current Value
$7,067.01
Total P&L
$-3,037.70
Max Drawdown
-41.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
26
Winners / Losers
10 / 16
Best Trade
+21.09%
Worst Trade
-14.63%
Avg Trade Return
-0.86%
Avg Hold Time
5.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$454,848.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,037.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,037.70
Gross Return
-30.06%
Net Return (after fees)
-30.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $10,104.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2024 9:40am ET $228.98 44 $10,074.90
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2024 9:40am ET $210.63 44 $9,267.50 $9,297.32 $-807.40
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 10:15am ET $252.25 36 $9,081.09
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $282.75 36 $10,179.00 $10,395.23 +$1,097.91
(+12.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2024 9:30am ET $264.88 39 $10,330.13
🔴 SELL Aug 9, 2024 1:10pm ET $243.38 39 $9,491.63 $9,556.73 $-838.50
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2024 1:10pm ET $241.25 39 $9,408.75
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2024 11:45am ET $221.75 39 $8,648.25 $8,796.23 $-760.50
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2024 11:50am ET $208.13 42 $8,741.25
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2024 11:50am ET $222.88 42 $9,360.75 $9,415.73 +$619.50
(+7.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2024 9:35am ET $195.25 48 $9,372.00
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2024 9:35am ET $184.13 48 $8,838.00 $8,881.73 $-534.00
(-5.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:40am ET $164.58 53 $8,722.53
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 10:00am ET $151.28 53 $8,017.58 $8,176.78 $-704.95
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2025 10:00am ET $150.75 54 $8,140.23
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2025 9:45am ET $138.27 54 $7,466.53 $7,503.08 $-673.70
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2025 9:45am ET $153.33 48 $7,359.82
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2025 9:30am ET $140.58 48 $6,747.65 $6,890.91 $-612.17
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2025 9:35am ET $150.50 45 $6,772.50
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET $168.18 45 $7,567.88 $7,686.28 +$795.38
(+11.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $153.40 50 $7,670.03
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 3:20pm ET $169.03 50 $8,451.25 $8,467.51 +$781.23
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 3:20pm ET $160.90 52 $8,366.80
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 2:15pm ET $177.03 52 $9,205.30 $9,306.01 +$838.50
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 2:15pm ET $172.94 53 $9,165.98
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 1:00pm ET $191.00 53 $10,123.00 $10,263.03 +$957.02
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 1:05pm ET $196.75 52 $10,231.00
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2025 9:35am ET $180.30 52 $9,375.60 $9,407.63 $-855.40
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2025 9:45am ET $188.43 49 $9,232.83
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2025 9:35am ET $173.00 49 $8,477.00 $8,651.80 $-755.83
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2025 9:40am ET $169.85 50 $8,492.50
🔴 SELL Mar 28, 2025 10:25am ET $186.95 50 $9,347.43 $9,506.73 +$854.93
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 10:30am ET $200.65 47 $9,430.55
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2025 11:30am ET $184.50 47 $8,671.50 $8,747.68 $-759.05
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $230.45 37 $8,526.65
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $279.05 37 $10,324.85 $10,545.88 +$1,798.20
(+21.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $224.75 46 $10,338.50
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $249.95 46 $11,497.70 $11,705.08 +$1,159.20
(+11.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:10pm ET $247.95 47 $11,653.65
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $211.69 47 $9,949.29 $10,000.72 $-1,704.36
(-14.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $200.30 49 $9,814.70
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $172.73 49 $8,463.53 $8,649.54 $-1,351.18
(-13.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
22 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $80.03 108 $8,643.24
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $73.57 108 $7,945.56 $7,951.86 $-697.68
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 12:30pm ET $72.19 110 $7,940.71
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $66.26 110 $7,288.60 $7,299.75 $-652.11
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $73.15 99 $7,241.85
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $68.14 99 $6,745.61 $6,803.51 $-496.24
(-6.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $71.36 95 $6,779.20
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $78.61 95 $7,467.95 $7,492.26 +$688.75
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $82.36 90 $7,411.95
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $77.63 90 $6,986.70 $7,067.01 $-425.25
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,067.01
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,932.99
Total Return: -29.33%
Back to Momo Momentum