Compendium › Momo Momentum › USO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
USO
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-07 15:20:00+00 • 27 trades executed

-24.87%
2 Years Return
$7,534.87
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$10,029.76
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:23:27

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 9.7/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 7.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-24.6%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
67,582
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
531 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,029.76
Current Value
$7,534.87
Total P&L
$-2,494.90
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
23
Winners / Losers
11 / 12
Best Trade
+12.30%
Worst Trade
-14.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.95%
Avg Hold Time
11.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$425,222.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,494.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,494.90
Gross Return
-24.87%
Net Return (after fees)
-24.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 531 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $10,029.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 21, 2024 9:30am ET $79.25 126 $9,985.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2024 9:30am ET $79.83 126 $10,058.58 $10,102.84 +$73.08
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 12, 2024 9:30am ET $81.04 124 $10,048.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2024 9:30am ET $74.44 124 $9,230.56 $9,284.44 $-818.40
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 4, 2024 9:35am ET $75.99 122 $9,270.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2024 9:35am ET $73.91 122 $9,017.03 $9,031.30 $-253.14
(-2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2024 10:10am ET $70.32 128 $9,000.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2024 9:30am ET $71.32 128 $9,128.96 $9,159.30 +$128.00
(+1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2024 9:40am ET $73.09 125 $9,136.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2024 9:30am ET $74.19 125 $9,273.75 $9,296.80 +$137.50
(+1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2024 9:35am ET $75.17 123 $9,245.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2025 12:00pm ET $82.71 123 $10,173.33 $10,224.22 +$927.42
(+10.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2025 12:15pm ET $81.76 125 $10,220.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 12:15pm ET $77.70 125 $9,712.50 $9,716.72 $-507.50
(-5.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2025 9:30am ET $77.59 125 $9,698.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $67.05 125 $8,381.23 $8,399.20 $-1,317.53
(-13.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY May 29, 2025 9:30am ET $67.53 124 $8,373.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 2:05pm ET $74.45 124 $9,231.18 $9,256.66 +$857.46
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 2:15pm ET $75.21 123 $9,250.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 2:50pm ET $82.77 123 $10,181.29 $10,187.73 +$931.07
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 3:00pm ET $82.69 123 $10,170.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $73.33 123 $9,019.59 $9,037.07 $-1,150.67
(-11.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $72.90 123 $8,966.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET $75.35 123 $9,268.05 $9,338.42 +$301.35
(+3.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 9:45am ET $77.39 120 $9,286.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 9:45am ET $72.10 120 $8,652.00 $8,703.62 $-634.80
(-6.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $70.94 122 $8,654.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $70.44 122 $8,593.68 $8,643.23 $-60.39
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $74.14 116 $8,600.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $75.79 116 $8,791.64 $8,834.63 +$191.40
(+2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $76.62 115 $8,811.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $78.04 115 $8,974.03 $8,997.35 +$162.73
(+1.9%) 		📅 Sim Ended
5.3d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $87.67 102 $8,942.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:15am ET $96.44 102 $9,836.89 $9,891.90 +$894.55
(+10.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.16 83 $9,890.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $113.07 83 $9,384.82 $9,386.44 $-505.46
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:50pm ET $103.01 91 $9,373.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $115.68 91 $10,526.68 $10,539.41 +$1,152.97
(+12.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $115.07 91 $10,471.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $109.13 91 $9,930.83 $9,998.87 $-540.54
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $138.90 71 $9,861.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $119.21 71 $8,463.63 $8,600.60 $-1,398.27
(-14.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $133.26 64 $8,528.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET $126.26 64 $8,080.64 $8,152.52 $-448.08
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:30am ET $146.74 55 $8,070.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $135.51 55 $7,453.05 $7,534.87 $-617.65
(-7.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,534.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,465.13
Total Return: -24.65%
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