Compendium › Momo Momentum › AVAXUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVAXUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 6 trades in period

-33.32%
Year to Date Return
$2,338.65
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$3,405.84
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 14:05:55

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
25.3 oversold
20d Trend
-38.3%
5d Trend
-38.9%
EMA20 Dist
-40.8%
ATR%
15.6%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,470
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$3,405.84
Current Value
$2,338.65
Period P&L
$-1,134.66
Max Drawdown
-79.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-4.51

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
0 / 6
Best Trade
-5.22%
Worst Trade
-8.92%
Avg Trade Return
-5.98%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$33,499.12
Estimated Fees
$83.75
Gross P&L
$-1,134.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,218.41
Gross Return
-33.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-35.77%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $3,405.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 7:15pm ET $13.90 245 $3,405.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET $12.66 245 $3,102.01 $3,085.74 $-320.10
(-8.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 8:05am ET $9.38 329 $3,085.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $8.89 329 $2,924.54 $2,924.54 $-176.22
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET $9.37 312 $2,924.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $8.88 312 $2,771.60 $2,771.60 $-167.18
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $9.45 293 $2,771.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 4:40am ET $8.91 293 $2,613.22 $2,613.22 $-171.84
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:35am ET $9.39 278 $2,613.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:35pm ET $8.89 278 $2,474.07 $2,474.07 $-151.87
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 5, 2026 9:20pm ET $9.50 260 $2,474.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 7:05pm ET $8.98 260 $2,338.65 $2,338.65 $-147.45
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,338.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,661.35
Total Return: -76.61%
Back to Momo Momentum