Compendium › Momo Momentum › BTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 2 trades in period

+0.18%
Year to Date Return
$11,567.28
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,491.92
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:23:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 67%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
4.9/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 20.9/100
× Confidence 0.67 = 13.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (67%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,473
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,491.92
Current Value
$11,567.28
Period P&L
$20.15
Max Drawdown
-47.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
1 / 1
Best Trade
+10.05%
Worst Trade
-8.06%
Avg Trade Return
+1.00%
Avg Hold Time
17.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$44,135.79
Estimated Fees
$110.34
Gross P&L
$20.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-90.19
Gross Return
+0.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.78%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,491.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $93,814.10 0 $11,491.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $86,254.00 0 $10,565.85 $10,510.71 $-981.23
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:35am ET $68,990.00 0 $10,510.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30pm ET $75,925.10 0 $11,567.28 $11,567.28 +$1,001.38
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,567.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,567.28
Total Return: +15.67%
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