Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:22:14

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.0/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 30.9/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 25.4

30-Day Momentum

38
+15.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.1 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,517
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,377.96
Current Value
$15,476.25
Period P&L
$2,098.27
Max Drawdown
-31.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+14.97%
Worst Trade
-7.88%
Avg Trade Return
+2.83%
Avg Hold Time
7.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$161,611.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,098.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,098.27
Gross Return
+15.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $13,377.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $198.44 67 $13,295.15
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $182.80 67 $12,247.27 $12,369.30 $-1,047.88
(-7.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $187.32 66 $12,363.12
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $215.36 66 $14,213.76 $14,219.94 +$1,850.64
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $196.97 72 $14,181.84
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:55am ET $186.28 72 $13,412.16 $13,450.26 $-769.68
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.45 60 $13,406.70
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $212.13 60 $12,728.10 $12,771.66 $-678.60
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $172.80 73 $12,614.76
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:20am ET $190.38 73 $13,897.95 $14,054.85 +$1,283.19
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:50am ET $201.66 69 $13,914.54
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $222.26 69 $15,335.94 $15,476.25 +$1,421.40
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,476.25
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,476.25
Total Return: +54.76%
Back to Momo Momentum