Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:59:54

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 7.3/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 6.5

30-Day Momentum

13
+4.0%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.0 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,480
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,452.16
Current Value
$9,524.22
Period P&L
$2,072.04
Max Drawdown
-72.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+12.36%
Worst Trade
-6.59%
Avg Trade Return
+3.08%
Avg Hold Time
6.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$158,280.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,072.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,072.04
Gross Return
+27.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $7,452.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $30.52 244 $7,446.88
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $33.99 244 $8,293.56 $8,298.86 +$846.68
(+11.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $31.68 261 $8,268.48
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $33.47 261 $8,736.97 $8,767.35 +$468.49
(+5.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $31.59 277 $8,750.43
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET $29.96 277 $8,298.89 $8,315.81 $-451.54
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET $21.57 385 $8,304.53
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:10am ET $23.75 385 $9,143.75 $9,155.03 +$839.22
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:15am ET $23.09 396 $9,143.64
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $21.91 396 $8,676.36 $8,687.75 $-467.28
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.03 361 $8,674.83
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $27.00 361 $9,747.00 $9,759.92 +$1,072.17
(+12.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:25am ET $28.10 347 $9,750.70
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $26.51 347 $9,198.97 $9,208.19 $-551.73
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET $28.61 321 $9,183.81
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $26.73 321 $8,578.73 $8,603.10 $-605.09
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $28.32 303 $8,580.96
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 303 $9,502.08 $9,524.22 +$921.12
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,524.22
Net Profit/Loss: $-475.78
Total Return: -4.76%
Back to Momo Momentum