Compendium › Momo Momentum › SMCI
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SMCI
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 17 trades in period

+30.87%
Year to Date Return
$9,752.46
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$7,452.16
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 16:52:19

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 6.6/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 6.2

30-Day Momentum

14
+5.3%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.2 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,012
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
125 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,452.16
Current Value
$9,752.46
Period P&L
$2,300.28
Max Drawdown
-72.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
8 / 9
Best Trade
+12.60%
Worst Trade
-6.59%
Avg Trade Return
+1.92%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$306,028.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,300.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,300.28
Gross Return
+30.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+30.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 125 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $7,452.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $30.52 244 $7,446.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $33.99 244 $8,293.56 $8,298.86 +$846.68
(+11.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $31.68 261 $8,268.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $33.47 261 $8,736.97 $8,767.35 +$468.49
(+5.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $31.59 277 $8,750.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET $29.96 277 $8,298.89 $8,315.81 $-451.54
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET $21.57 385 $8,304.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:10am ET $23.75 385 $9,143.75 $9,155.03 +$839.22
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:15am ET $23.09 396 $9,143.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $21.91 396 $8,676.36 $8,687.75 $-467.28
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.03 361 $8,674.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $27.00 361 $9,747.00 $9,759.92 +$1,072.17
(+12.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:25am ET $28.10 347 $9,750.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $26.51 347 $9,198.97 $9,208.19 $-551.73
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET $28.61 321 $9,183.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $26.73 321 $8,578.73 $8,603.10 $-605.09
(-6.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $28.32 303 $8,580.96 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 303 $9,502.08 $9,524.22 +$921.12
(+10.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:05am ET $35.12 271 $9,516.17 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $33.16 271 $8,986.36 $8,994.41 $-529.81
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
11 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:55am ET $33.73 266 $8,972.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $31.55 266 $8,392.30 $8,414.53 $-579.88
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
12 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:05am ET $32.35 260 $8,411.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $35.59 260 $9,253.40 $9,256.93 +$842.40
(+10.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:40am ET $40.16 230 $9,236.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $44.36 230 $10,202.80 $10,222.93 +$966.00
(+10.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $50.65 201 $10,180.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $47.85 201 $9,617.85 $9,660.13 $-562.80
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $43.83 220 $9,642.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $41.55 220 $9,141.00 $9,158.53 $-501.60
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:05am ET $31.43 291 $9,146.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $29.73 291 $8,649.98 $8,662.38 $-496.15
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:20am ET $30.05 288 $8,654.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $33.83 288 $9,744.48 $9,752.46 +$1,090.08
(+12.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,752.46
Net Profit/Loss: $-247.54
Total Return: -2.48%
Back to Momo Momentum