Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:00:45

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

0
-24.7%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,971
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$5,954.32
Current Value
$4,874.96
Period P&L
$-1,079.35
Max Drawdown
-72.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
6 / 12
Best Trade
+14.79%
Worst Trade
-16.27%
Avg Trade Return
-0.69%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$219,074.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,079.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,079.35
Gross Return
-18.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $5,954.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $38.93 152 $5,917.36
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $35.80 152 $5,441.60 $5,478.55 $-475.76
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $35.91 152 $5,458.32
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $39.80 152 $6,049.60 $6,069.83 +$591.28
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $39.10 155 $6,060.50
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET $35.77 155 $5,544.35 $5,553.68 $-516.15
(-8.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $41.00 135 $5,535.00
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $38.78 135 $5,235.80 $5,254.48 $-299.20
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:55am ET $40.21 130 $5,226.65
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $38.16 130 $4,960.79 $4,988.62 $-265.86
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $39.36 126 $4,959.36
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $45.08 126 $5,680.08 $5,709.34 +$720.72
(+14.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET $42.75 133 $5,685.75
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $47.33 133 $6,294.89 $6,318.48 +$609.14
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $52.49 120 $6,298.80
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $49.62 120 $5,954.40 $5,974.08 $-344.40
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $46.07 129 $5,943.03
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $50.85 129 $6,559.65 $6,590.70 +$616.62
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $47.74 138 $6,588.12
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $54.80 138 $7,562.40 $7,564.98 +$974.28
(+14.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:05am ET $51.84 145 $7,516.80
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $48.58 145 $7,044.11 $7,092.29 $-472.69
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $52.24 135 $7,052.40
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $49.49 135 $6,680.48 $6,720.36 $-371.93
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $52.72 127 $6,695.27
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $58.32 127 $7,406.64 $7,431.73 +$711.37
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:25pm ET $61.23 121 $7,408.83
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $56.16 121 $6,795.36 $6,818.26 $-613.47
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $55.10 123 $6,777.10
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $52.33 123 $6,436.59 $6,477.75 $-340.51
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $51.90 124 $6,435.61
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $43.46 124 $5,388.42 $5,430.56 $-1,047.19
(-16.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET $39.38 137 $5,395.06
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $37.22 137 $5,099.22 $5,134.72 $-295.84
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
18 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $37.67 136 $5,123.12
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:25am ET $35.76 136 $4,863.36 $4,874.96 $-259.76
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,874.96
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,125.04
Total Return: -51.25%
Back to Momo Momentum