Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:00:33

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 48%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
6.8/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 14.5/100
× Confidence 0.48 = 6.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (48%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,444
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,788.22
Current Value
$10,562.02
Period P&L
$1,773.80
Max Drawdown
-18.9%
Sharpe Ratio
16.28

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
2 / 0
Best Trade
+10.28%
Worst Trade
+9.09%
Avg Trade Return
+9.69%
Avg Hold Time
16.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$38,297.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,773.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,773.80
Gross Return
+20.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $8,788.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $124.58 70 $8,720.60
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET $135.91 70 $9,513.70 $9,581.32 +$793.10
(+9.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET $136.30 70 $9,541.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $150.31 70 $10,521.70 $10,562.02 +$980.70
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,562.02
Net Profit/Loss: +$562.02
Total Return: +5.62%
Back to Momo Momentum