Compendium › Momo Momentum › LLY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LLY
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 23 trades executed

+3.75%
2 Years Return
$11,440.94
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$11,027.80
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:15:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
9.9/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 22.2/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 17.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
52,806
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
529 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,027.80
Current Value
$11,440.94
Total P&L
$413.13
Max Drawdown
-28.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
19
Winners / Losers
10 / 9
Best Trade
+11.52%
Worst Trade
-8.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.44%
Avg Hold Time
16.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$406,535.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$413.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$413.13
Gross Return
+3.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 529 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,027.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 16, 2024 9:30am ET $783.28 14 $10,965.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2024 9:30am ET $826.10 14 $11,565.40 $11,627.28 +$599.48
(+5.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2024 9:55am ET $840.26 13 $10,923.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2024 9:55am ET $904.09 13 $11,753.17 $12,457.07 +$829.79
(+7.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2024 10:00am ET $903.03 13 $11,739.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2024 10:00am ET $913.01 13 $11,869.07 $12,586.76 +$129.69
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2024 9:30am ET $923.11 13 $12,000.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2024 9:30am ET $944.82 13 $12,282.66 $12,868.99 +$282.23
(+2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2024 9:30am ET $936.33 13 $12,172.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2024 9:30am ET $933.75 13 $12,138.75 $12,835.45 $-33.54
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2024 9:30am ET $822.72 15 $12,340.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 10:25am ET $754.80 15 $11,322.00 $11,816.65 $-1,018.80
(-8.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2024 9:30am ET $789.36 14 $11,050.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET $792.84 14 $11,099.69 $11,865.37 +$48.72
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2025 9:30am ET $820.02 14 $11,480.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2025 9:30am ET $870.00 14 $12,180.00 $12,565.09 +$699.72
(+6.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 21, 2025 9:30am ET $879.82 14 $12,317.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 9:45am ET $808.41 14 $11,317.74 $11,565.35 $-999.74
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 9:30am ET $870.05 13 $11,310.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 11:55am ET $799.69 13 $10,395.97 $10,650.67 $-914.68
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
11 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:30am ET $816.83 13 $10,618.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 9:35am ET $748.19 13 $9,726.47 $9,758.38 $-892.29
(-8.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 9:40am ET $812.96 12 $9,755.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 9:40am ET $782.59 12 $9,391.10 $9,393.96 $-364.42
(-3.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $738.79 12 $8,865.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $738.99 12 $8,867.82 $9,396.30 +$2.34
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:40am ET $822.12 11 $9,043.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 9:40am ET $800.00 11 $8,800.00 $9,152.98 $-243.32
(-2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
15 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 9:55am ET $819.02 11 $9,009.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 10:25am ET $913.33 11 $10,046.62 $10,190.44 +$1,037.45
(+11.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 10:35am ET $940.09 10 $9,400.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 11:25am ET $1,034.85 10 $10,348.50 $11,138.04 +$947.60
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:30am ET $1,048.05 10 $10,480.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:30am ET $997.60 10 $9,976.00 $10,633.54 $-504.50
(-4.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET $1,077.06 9 $9,693.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,056.05 9 $9,504.45 $10,444.45 $-189.09
(-1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $899.30 11 $9,892.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $989.89 11 $10,888.79 $11,440.94 +$996.49
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,440.94
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,440.94
Total Return: +14.41%
Back to Momo Momentum