Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.0/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 30.9/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 25.4

30-Day Momentum

38
+15.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.1 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
49,415
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
525 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-06-23 (26 candles), 2025-06-24 (no data)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,768.09
Current Value
$15,476.25
Total P&L
$5,708.14
Max Drawdown
-31.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
32
Winners / Losers
16 / 16
Best Trade
+14.97%
Worst Trade
-10.69%
Avg Trade Return
+1.85%
Avg Hold Time
11d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$819,765.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,708.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,708.14
Gross Return
+58.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+58.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 525 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $9,768.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2024 9:30am ET $77.97 125 $9,746.25
🔴 SELL Jul 5, 2024 10:00am ET $85.89 125 $10,736.25 $10,758.09 +$990.00
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2024 10:15am ET $85.52 125 $10,690.00
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2024 11:15am ET $78.65 125 $9,831.25 $9,899.34 $-858.75
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2024 9:30am ET $81.75 121 $9,891.75
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2024 9:30am ET $75.92 121 $9,186.32 $9,193.91 $-705.43
(-7.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2024 9:30am ET $85.03 108 $9,183.24
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2024 1:15pm ET $78.10 108 $8,434.80 $8,445.47 $-748.44
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2024 9:30am ET $82.70 102 $8,434.89
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 10:05am ET $91.39 102 $9,321.78 $9,332.36 +$886.89
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 11, 2024 10:05am ET $93.31 100 $9,330.50
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2024 10:05am ET $88.00 100 $8,800.01 $8,801.87 $-530.49
(-5.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 1, 2024 10:05am ET $86.75 101 $8,761.25
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 10:55am ET $95.44 101 $9,639.44 $9,680.07 +$878.19
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2024 9:30am ET $95.98 100 $9,598.00
🔴 SELL Nov 22, 2024 12:10pm ET $105.60 100 $10,560.00 $10,642.07 +$962.00
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2024 12:20pm ET $103.99 102 $10,606.98
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 10:05am ET $114.55 102 $11,683.59 $11,718.68 +$1,076.61
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2024 10:10am ET $113.16 103 $11,655.27
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2024 10:10am ET $108.20 103 $11,144.60 $11,208.00 $-510.67
(-4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2025 9:35am ET $118.88 94 $11,174.72
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2025 10:00am ET $132.28 94 $12,434.32 $12,467.60 +$1,259.60
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2025 10:25am ET $135.84 91 $12,360.99
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2025 9:30am ET $154.91 91 $14,096.36 $14,202.97 +$1,735.37
(+14.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2025 9:45am ET $170.75 83 $14,172.25
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2025 9:30am ET $157.05 83 $13,035.15 $13,065.87 $-1,137.10
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 21, 2025 9:35am ET $155.76 83 $12,928.29
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 10:10am ET $142.65 83 $11,839.54 $11,977.12 $-1,088.75
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2025 9:35am ET $148.40 80 $11,871.60
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $136.28 80 $10,902.40 $11,007.92 $-969.20
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 9:30am ET $121.13 90 $10,901.25
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 9:30am ET $134.80 90 $12,132.00 $12,238.67 +$1,230.75
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
17 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $137.80 88 $12,126.40
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 9:30am ET $153.67 88 $13,522.78 $13,635.05 +$1,396.38
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
18 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 9:35am ET $152.02 89 $13,529.95
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 12:50pm ET $167.52 89 $14,909.28 $15,014.38 +$1,379.33
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 12:55pm ET $171.96 87 $14,960.52
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $190.16 87 $16,543.92 $16,597.78 +$1,583.40
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 9:30am ET $188.82 87 $16,427.34
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 9:30am ET $187.54 87 $16,315.98 $16,486.42 $-111.36
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 9:35am ET $190.27 86 $16,363.17
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 10:30am ET $209.51 86 $18,017.86 $18,141.12 +$1,654.69
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 10:35am ET $204.78 88 $18,020.64
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET $187.48 88 $16,498.24 $16,618.72 $-1,522.40
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET $212.30 78 $16,559.40
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $217.52 78 $16,966.56 $17,025.88 +$407.16
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 9:40am ET $224.49 75 $16,836.83
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 9:40am ET $215.19 75 $16,139.25 $16,328.30 $-697.58
(-4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
25 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:50am ET $255.91 63 $16,122.33
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 1:25pm ET $235.16 63 $14,815.08 $15,021.05 $-1,307.25
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
26 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:25pm ET $230.75 65 $14,998.75
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $206.08 65 $13,394.88 $13,417.18 $-1,603.88
(-10.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $198.44 67 $13,295.15
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $182.80 67 $12,247.27 $12,369.30 $-1,047.88
(-7.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $187.32 66 $12,363.12
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $215.36 66 $14,213.76 $14,219.94 +$1,850.64
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $196.97 72 $14,181.84
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:55am ET $186.28 72 $13,412.16 $13,450.26 $-769.68
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.45 60 $13,406.70
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $212.13 60 $12,728.10 $12,771.66 $-678.60
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $172.80 73 $12,614.76
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:20am ET $190.38 73 $13,897.95 $14,054.85 +$1,283.19
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:50am ET $201.66 69 $13,914.54
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $222.26 69 $15,335.94 $15,476.25 +$1,421.40
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,476.25
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,476.25
Total Return: +54.76%
Back to Momo Momentum