VXX Momo Momentum's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 47 trades executed
+19.14%
2 Years Return
$9,222.16
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$7,740.80
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
6.5/100
× Confidence 0.78
= 5.1
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
70,517
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$7,740.80
Current Value
$9,222.16
Total P&L
$1,481.35
Max Drawdown
-36.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
44
Winners / Losers
21 /
23
Best Trade
+13.72%
Worst Trade
-13.87%
Avg Trade Return
+0.88%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$790,169.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,481.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,481.35
Gross Return
+19.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.14%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $7,740.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2024 9:40am ET | $48.75 | 158 | $7,702.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2024 2:40pm ET | $44.84 | 158 | $7,084.72 | $7,123.02 |
$-617.78 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2024 2:50pm ET | $52.03 | 136 | $7,076.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 2, 2024 10:10am ET | $58.70 | 136 | $7,983.20 | $8,030.14 |
+$907.12 (+12.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 10:10am ET | $77.97 | 102 | $7,952.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 10:40am ET | $86.03 | 102 | $8,775.06 | $8,852.26 |
+$822.12 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2024 10:40am ET | $70.65 | 125 | $8,831.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2024 12:15pm ET | $64.79 | 125 | $8,098.75 | $8,119.76 |
$-732.50 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2024 12:20pm ET | $63.60 | 127 | $8,077.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2024 2:10pm ET | $70.71 | 127 | $8,980.18 | $9,022.74 |
+$902.98 (+11.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2024 2:10pm ET | $63.57 | 141 | $8,963.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 9, 2024 1:30pm ET | $58.14 | 141 | $8,197.74 | $8,257.11 |
$-765.63 (-8.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2024 1:30pm ET | $53.58 | 154 | $8,251.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2024 9:45am ET | $49.28 | 154 | $7,589.12 | $7,594.91 |
$-662.20 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2024 9:45am ET | $45.94 | 165 | $7,580.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2024 2:00pm ET | $50.84 | 165 | $8,389.01 | $8,403.82 |
+$808.91 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 13, 2024 9:30am ET | $49.05 | 171 | $8,387.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $54.27 | 171 | $9,280.72 | $9,296.99 |
+$893.17 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2024 9:35am ET | $56.14 | 165 | $9,263.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2024 12:20pm ET | $51.65 | 165 | $8,522.25 | $8,555.61 |
$-741.38 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2024 9:50am ET | $54.38 | 157 | $8,536.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $53.03 | 157 | $8,325.71 | $8,344.45 |
$-211.17 (-2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2024 9:30am ET | $49.10 | 169 | $8,297.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 2:35pm ET | $54.28 | 169 | $9,173.30 | $9,220.69 |
+$876.25 (+10.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 3:00pm ET | $48.15 | 191 | $9,196.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $43.71 | 191 | $8,348.61 | $8,372.65 |
$-848.04 (-9.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2024 9:40am ET | $45.08 | 185 | $8,339.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $49.59 | 185 | $9,174.15 | $9,207.00 |
+$834.35 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 10:05am ET | $50.43 | 182 | $9,178.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.68 | 182 | $8,130.85 | $8,159.59 |
$-1,047.41 (-11.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $43.48 | 187 | $8,130.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $48.11 | 187 | $8,996.57 | $9,025.40 |
+$865.81 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 9:35am ET | $51.99 | 173 | $8,994.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 3:00pm ET | $57.22 | 173 | $9,899.06 | $9,930.19 |
+$904.79 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2025 3:05pm ET | $56.26 | 176 | $9,901.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $51.44 | 176 | $9,053.44 | $9,081.87 |
$-848.32 (-8.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $50.67 | 179 | $9,069.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.60 | 179 | $8,341.40 | $8,353.34 |
$-728.53 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.85 | 158 | $8,350.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $58.71 | 158 | $9,276.18 | $9,279.22 |
+$925.88 (+11.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 10:30am ET | $72.39 | 128 | $9,265.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $82.32 | 128 | $10,536.96 | $10,550.26 |
+$1,271.04 (+13.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 9:40am ET | $67.96 | 155 | $10,533.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 12:35pm ET | $75.97 | 155 | $11,775.35 | $11,791.81 |
+$1,241.55 (+11.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 12:35pm ET | $85.29 | 138 | $11,770.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET | $77.54 | 138 | $10,700.52 | $10,722.31 |
$-1,069.50 (-9.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 1:35pm ET | $82.78 | 129 | $10,677.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $71.29 | 129 | $9,196.42 | $9,240.76 |
$-1,481.55 (-13.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $68.07 | 135 | $9,189.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 3:25pm ET | $75.04 | 135 | $10,129.73 | $10,181.04 |
+$940.28 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2025 3:30pm ET | $71.75 | 141 | $10,116.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2025 3:40pm ET | $65.89 | 141 | $9,290.49 | $9,354.78 |
$-826.26 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 25, 2025 3:45pm ET | $63.91 | 146 | $9,330.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.23 | 146 | $8,063.58 | $8,087.50 |
$-1,267.28 (-13.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.7d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.31 | 154 | $8,054.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 10:20am ET | $48.11 | 154 | $7,408.92 | $7,441.45 |
$-646.05 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $35.20 | 211 | $7,428.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET | $39.34 | 211 | $8,300.74 | $8,314.08 |
+$872.63 (+11.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 12:35pm ET | $38.60 | 215 | $8,299.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.36 | 215 | $7,601.33 | $7,616.41 |
$-697.68 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $34.83 | 218 | $7,591.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $38.55 | 218 | $8,403.90 | $8,428.46 |
+$812.05 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $36.30 | 232 | $8,421.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET | $40.07 | 232 | $9,296.24 | $9,303.10 |
+$874.64 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 10:25am ET | $35.26 | 263 | $9,273.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 9:45am ET | $32.39 | 263 | $8,518.57 | $8,548.29 |
$-754.81 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $28.19 | 303 | $8,540.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $25.91 | 303 | $7,850.73 | $7,858.87 |
$-689.42 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.81 | 293 | $7,853.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $29.57 | 293 | $8,664.01 | $8,668.99 |
+$810.12 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $27.99 | 309 | $8,648.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $26.63 | 309 | $8,228.21 | $8,248.29 |
$-420.70 (-4.9%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.2d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $29.31 | 281 | $8,234.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $32.31 | 281 | $9,079.08 | $9,092.67 |
+$844.38 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $30.90 | 294 | $9,084.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $34.25 | 294 | $10,069.50 | $10,077.57 |
+$984.90 (+10.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $36.18 | 278 | $10,058.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $34.29 | 278 | $9,532.62 | $9,552.15 |
$-525.42 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $32.58 | 293 | $9,545.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.59 | 293 | $10,720.87 | $10,727.08 |
+$1,174.93 (+12.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $35.05 | 306 | $10,725.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $32.98 | 306 | $10,091.88 | $10,093.66 |
$-633.42 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $35.42 | 284 | $10,059.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $39.01 | 284 | $11,080.26 | $11,114.64 |
+$1,020.98 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $37.10 | 299 | $11,091.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $34.96 | 299 | $10,453.04 | $10,476.27 |
$-638.37 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $35.85 | 292 | $10,466.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.55 | 292 | $9,212.63 | $9,222.16 |
$-1,254.11 (-12.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,222.16
Net Profit/Loss:
$-777.84
Total Return:
-7.78%