Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:46:29

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.5/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
5.3/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 60.3/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 51.4

30-Day Momentum

8
+0.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.5 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-43 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,171.02
Current Value
$14,217.67
Period P&L
$46.65
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+1.71%
Worst Trade
-1.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$84,835.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$46.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$46.65
Gross Return
+0.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $14,171.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:55am ET $137.82 103 $14,171.02
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $138.53 103 $14,244.54 $14,244.54 +$73.52
(+0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:55am ET $136.25 105 $14,244.54
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $133.71 105 $13,978.99 $13,978.99 $-265.55
(-1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $128.85 108 $13,978.99
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $131.05 108 $14,217.67 $14,217.67 +$238.68
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,217.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,217.67
Total Return: +42.18%
Back to Monday Masher