Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 08:51:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
27.2/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 60.0/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 50.2

30-Day Momentum

13
+1.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,972
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
258 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,523.48
Current Value
$13,887.92
Period P&L
$2,364.44
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
15 / 10
Best Trade
+7.08%
Worst Trade
-7.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$672,653.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,364.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,364.44
Gross Return
+20.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 258 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $11,523.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:50am ET $196.51 61 $12,069.50
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $185.57 61 $11,397.57 $11,397.57 $-671.93
(-5.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:50am ET $184.29 62 $11,397.57
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $187.42 62 $11,591.15 $11,591.15 +$193.58
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 10:40am ET $189.35 61 $11,591.15
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $192.31 61 $11,772.08 $11,772.08 +$180.93
(+1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 10:55am ET $189.19 62 $11,772.08
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $194.96 62 $12,131.11 $12,131.11 +$359.03
(+3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 11:40am ET $185.70 65 $12,131.11
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $190.85 65 $12,467.88 $12,467.88 +$336.77
(+2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 9:45am ET $188.75 66 $12,467.88
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $188.86 66 $12,475.15 $12,475.15 +$7.27
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 10:05am ET $194.32 64 $12,475.15
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $198.98 64 $12,774.65 $12,774.65 +$299.50
(+2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET $208.70 61 $12,774.65
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $207.95 61 $12,728.74 $12,728.74 $-45.91
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 9:35am ET $208.65 61 $12,728.74
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $220.18 61 $13,432.45 $13,432.45 +$703.71
(+5.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $217.45 62 $13,432.45
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $222.00 62 $13,713.55 $13,713.55 +$281.10
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $231.86 59 $13,713.55
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $230.74 59 $13,647.31 $13,647.31 $-66.24
(-0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET $215.23 63 $13,647.31
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $219.07 63 $13,890.80 $13,890.80 +$243.49
(+1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET $217.01 64 $13,890.80
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $232.37 64 $14,873.99 $14,873.99 +$983.19
(+7.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET $234.78 63 $14,873.99
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $227.70 63 $14,425.45 $14,425.45 $-448.54
(-3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:45am ET $225.51 64 $14,425.45
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $230.06 64 $14,716.50 $14,716.50 +$291.05
(+2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $225.70 65 $14,716.50
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $224.15 65 $14,615.43 $14,615.43 $-101.07
(-0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:40am ET $226.60 64 $14,615.43
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $218.68 64 $14,104.60 $14,104.60 $-510.83
(-3.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $221.44 64 $14,104.60
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $227.43 64 $14,486.13 $14,486.13 +$381.53
(+2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:40am ET $232.40 62 $14,486.13
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $231.62 62 $14,437.20 $14,437.20 $-48.93
(-0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $227.33 64 $14,437.20
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $225.40 64 $14,314.63 $14,314.63 $-122.57
(-0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET $221.35 65 $14,314.63
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $205.76 65 $13,306.73 $13,306.73 $-1,007.90
(-7.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:30am ET $204.80 65 $13,306.73
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $210.93 65 $13,705.02 $13,705.02 +$398.29
(+3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $206.97 66 $13,705.02
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $212.43 66 $14,066.57 $14,066.57 +$361.55
(+2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $206.00 68 $14,066.57
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $209.03 68 $14,273.48 $14,273.48 +$206.91
(+1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $206.57 69 $14,273.48
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $200.99 69 $13,887.92 $13,887.92 $-385.56
(-2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,887.92
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,887.92
Total Return: +38.88%
Back to Monday Masher