Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:34:41

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 7.6/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 6.6

30-Day Momentum

35
+4.6%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
3.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.7 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,566
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,480.09
Current Value
$9,234.82
Period P&L
$754.73
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
14 / 10
Best Trade
+7.15%
Worst Trade
-3.90%
Avg Trade Return
+0.29%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$413,145.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$754.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$754.73
Gross Return
+8.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $8,480.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:45am ET $277.23 31 $8,676.64
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $271.95 31 $8,511.39 $8,511.39 $-165.25
(-1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 10:35am ET $270.61 31 $8,511.39
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $271.66 31 $8,544.42 $8,544.42 +$33.03
(+0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 10:55am ET $286.42 30 $8,544.42
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $279.13 30 $8,326.95 $8,326.95 $-217.47
(-2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $295.23 28 $8,326.95
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $300.26 28 $8,468.82 $8,468.82 +$141.87
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 9:35am ET $303.76 28 $8,468.82
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $294.90 28 $8,221.80 $8,221.80 $-247.02
(-2.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 10:30am ET $288.21 29 $8,221.80
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $290.20 29 $8,278.71 $8,278.71 +$56.91
(+0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 10:00am ET $291.61 28 $8,278.71
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $285.42 28 $8,103.12 $8,103.12 $-175.59
(-2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET $280.43 29 $8,103.12
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $282.71 29 $8,168.97 $8,168.97 +$65.85
(+0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 10:10am ET $273.93 30 $8,168.97
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $275.83 30 $8,225.78 $8,225.78 +$56.81
(+0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET $282.36 29 $8,225.78
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $271.34 29 $7,904.74 $7,904.74 $-321.04
(-3.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $295.76 27 $7,904.74
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $295.44 27 $7,896.19 $7,896.19 $-8.55
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:45am ET $288.26 27 $7,896.19
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $292.01 27 $7,998.91 $7,998.91 +$102.72
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:20am ET $294.38 27 $7,998.91
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $315.44 27 $8,571.02 $8,571.02 +$572.11
(+7.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET $321.59 27 $8,571.02
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $336.00 27 $8,955.08 $8,955.08 +$384.06
(+4.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $336.59 27 $8,955.08
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $345.46 27 $9,191.21 $9,191.21 +$236.13
(+2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET $340.89 27 $9,191.21
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $340.28 27 $9,174.76 $9,174.76 $-16.45
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $327.03 28 $9,174.76
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $317.39 28 $8,904.45 $8,904.45 $-270.31
(-2.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET $324.29 27 $8,904.45
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $330.05 27 $9,062.75 $9,062.75 +$158.30
(+1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $377.23 24 $9,062.75
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.29 24 $8,799.92 $8,799.92 $-262.83
(-2.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:40am ET $367.09 24 $8,799.92
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $368.33 24 $8,829.65 $8,829.65 +$29.73
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $344.11 26 $8,829.65
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $355.79 26 $9,129.35 $9,129.35 +$299.70
(+3.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:35am ET $346.75 26 $9,129.35
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.99 26 $9,214.65 $9,214.65 +$85.30
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:35am ET $352.43 26 $9,214.65
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.36 26 $9,134.38 $9,134.38 $-80.27
(-0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $342.86 27 $9,134.38
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $346.63 27 $9,234.82 $9,234.82 +$100.44
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,234.82
Net Profit/Loss: $-765.18
Total Return: -7.65%
Back to Monday Masher