Compendium › Monday Masher › HD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HD
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 25 trades in period

-7.39%
Last Year Return
$9,194.36
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$9,927.79
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:35:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 7.6/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 6.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,226
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
263 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,927.79
Current Value
$9,194.36
Period P&L
$-733.43
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
10 / 15
Best Trade
+5.17%
Worst Trade
-7.55%
Avg Trade Return
-0.26%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$483,347.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-733.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-733.43
Gross Return
-7.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 263 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $9,927.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:40am ET $360.43 28 $9,917.33 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $364.81 28 $10,037.85 $10,037.85 +$120.52
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $376.41 27 $10,037.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $366.14 27 $9,763.98 $9,763.98 $-273.87
(-2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:35am ET $363.29 27 $9,763.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $369.35 27 $9,926.85 $9,926.85 +$162.87
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 11:40am ET $352.94 28 $9,926.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $349.84 28 $9,839.66 $9,839.66 $-87.19
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 10:30am ET $385.87 25 $9,839.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $400.30 25 $10,207.50 $10,207.50 +$367.84
(+3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 10:25am ET $395.20 26 $10,207.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $397.75 26 $10,273.49 $10,273.49 +$65.99
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 9:45am ET $409.01 25 $10,273.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $407.58 25 $10,237.68 $10,237.68 $-35.81
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 9:35am ET $418.47 24 $10,237.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $417.55 24 $10,215.17 $10,215.17 $-22.51
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET $411.41 25 $10,215.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $407.48 25 $10,117.59 $10,117.59 $-97.58
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 9:45am ET $406.40 25 $10,117.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $395.01 25 $9,834.03 $9,834.03 $-283.56
(-2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $391.93 25 $9,834.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $377.83 25 $9,480.24 $9,480.24 $-353.79
(-3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 11:00am ET $382.96 25 $9,480.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $379.54 25 $9,395.70 $9,395.70 $-84.54
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:55am ET $375.02 25 $9,395.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $369.07 25 $9,246.63 $9,246.63 $-149.07
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $366.71 25 $9,246.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $368.10 25 $9,281.68 $9,281.68 +$35.05
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:35am ET $359.60 26 $9,281.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $332.44 26 $8,580.77 $8,580.77 $-700.91
(-7.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET $339.37 25 $8,580.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $356.92 25 $9,024.51 $9,024.51 +$443.74
(+5.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $347.85 26 $9,024.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $357.64 26 $9,278.59 $9,278.59 +$254.08
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $343.17 27 $9,278.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $359.51 27 $9,720.39 $9,720.39 +$441.80
(+4.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $380.45 26 $9,720.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $390.22 26 $9,970.01 $9,970.01 +$249.62
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $376.18 27 $9,970.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $375.48 27 $9,951.46 $9,951.46 $-18.55
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $374.97 27 $9,951.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $362.98 27 $9,633.39 $9,633.39 $-318.07
(-3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $350.36 27 $9,633.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $339.77 27 $9,342.30 $9,342.30 $-291.09
(-3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $332.94 28 $9,342.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $336.92 28 $9,453.98 $9,453.98 +$111.68
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $345.15 27 $9,453.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $339.70 27 $9,304.56 $9,304.56 $-149.42
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:35am ET $333.51 28 $9,304.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $329.56 28 $9,194.36 $9,194.36 $-110.20
(-1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,194.36
Net Profit/Loss: $-805.64
Total Return: -8.06%
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