Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:32:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 62%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.0/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
4.3/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 52.9/100
× Confidence 0.62 = 32.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (62%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,698.94
Current Value
$13,139.09
Period P&L
$-559.85
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.38

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+2.53%
Worst Trade
-5.91%
Avg Trade Return
-0.43%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$245,090.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-559.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$-559.85
Gross Return
-4.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $13,698.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:50am ET $544.54 25 $13,698.94
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $558.34 25 $14,046.11 $14,046.11 +$347.17
(+2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $504.40 28 $14,046.11
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $512.97 28 $14,284.76 $14,284.76 +$238.65
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 11:30am ET $441.16 32 $14,284.76
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $435.64 32 $14,106.18 $14,106.18 $-178.58
(-1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 11:45am ET $450.68 31 $14,106.18
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $443.74 31 $13,888.93 $13,888.93 $-217.25
(-1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:45am ET $539.29 26 $13,888.93
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $529.94 26 $13,648.13 $13,648.13 $-240.80
(-1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $575.01 24 $13,648.13
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $541.00 24 $12,840.89 $12,840.89 $-807.24
(-5.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $495.55 26 $12,840.89
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $506.16 26 $13,115.87 $13,115.87 +$274.98
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $492.75 27 $13,115.87
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $495.74 27 $13,195.46 $13,195.46 +$79.59
(+0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:10am ET $482.18 27 $13,195.46
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $480.12 27 $13,139.09 $13,139.09 $-56.37
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,139.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,139.09
Total Return: +31.39%
Back to Monday Masher