Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:37:34

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.5/35
Total Return
8.4/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 26.4/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 17.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,063
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,139.98
Current Value
$10,930.66
Period P&L
$790.67
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+3.93%
Worst Trade
-1.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.69%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$232,602.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$790.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$790.67
Gross Return
+7.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $10,139.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:50am ET $198.57 51 $10,150.72
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $201.23 51 $10,286.70 $10,286.70 +$135.98
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 10:30am ET $206.48 50 $10,286.70
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $208.15 50 $10,369.90 $10,369.90 +$83.20
(+0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $207.21 50 $10,369.90
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $203.23 50 $10,170.72 $10,170.72 $-199.18
(-1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:45am ET $203.97 50 $10,170.72
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $208.52 50 $10,397.35 $10,397.35 +$226.63
(+2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 12:30pm ET $207.26 50 $10,397.35
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $215.40 50 $10,805.70 $10,805.70 +$408.35
(+3.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:15am ET $243.94 44 $10,805.70
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $240.35 44 $10,646.89 $10,646.89 $-158.81
(-1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 2:45pm ET $232.89 46 $10,646.89
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $229.13 46 $10,475.22 $10,475.22 $-171.67
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET $246.09 43 $10,475.22
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $251.82 43 $10,719.13 $10,719.13 +$243.91
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET $260.73 41 $10,719.13
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $266.09 41 $10,939.49 $10,939.49 +$220.36
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $247.24 44 $10,939.49
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.47 44 $10,949.67 $10,949.67 +$10.18
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $247.73 44 $10,949.67
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $247.30 44 $10,930.66 $10,930.66 $-19.01
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,930.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$930.66
Total Return: +9.31%
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