Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 01:57:56

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 6.6/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 5.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,273
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-25 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
258 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,315.96
Current Value
$9,602.60
Period P&L
$-713.36
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
4 / 10
Best Trade
+4.81%
Worst Trade
-3.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.48%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$281,532.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-713.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$-713.36
Gross Return
-6.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 258 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $10,315.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:35am ET $572.40 18 $10,315.96
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $564.78 18 $10,178.63 $10,178.63 $-137.33
(-1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 10:30am ET $555.32 18 $10,178.63
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $549.68 18 $10,075.34 $10,075.34 $-103.29
(-1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $556.45 18 $10,075.34
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $573.91 18 $10,391.44 $10,391.44 +$316.10
(+3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:40am ET $568.76 18 $10,391.44
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $553.62 18 $10,114.92 $10,114.92 $-276.52
(-2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:35am ET $547.05 18 $10,114.92
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $553.59 18 $10,235.94 $10,235.94 +$121.02
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:30am ET $542.56 19 $10,235.94
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $527.56 19 $9,952.95 $9,952.95 $-282.99
(-2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 11:15am ET $537.98 19 $9,952.95
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $563.85 19 $10,431.66 $10,431.66 +$478.71
(+4.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $556.93 19 $10,431.66
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $542.76 19 $10,166.25 $10,166.25 $-265.41
(-2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:50am ET $539.91 19 $10,166.25
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $527.39 19 $9,930.41 $9,930.41 $-235.84
(-2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $518.76 19 $9,930.41
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $513.97 19 $9,838.81 $9,838.81 $-91.60
(-0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $509.87 19 $9,838.81
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $523.47 19 $10,101.34 $10,101.34 +$262.53
(+2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:15am ET $514.45 20 $10,101.34
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $498.08 20 $9,779.91 $9,779.91 $-321.43
(-3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $490.40 20 $9,779.91
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $481.85 20 $9,609.40 $9,609.40 $-170.51
(-1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:20am ET $487.21 20 $9,609.40
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $486.87 20 $9,602.60 $9,602.60 $-6.80
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,602.60
Net Profit/Loss: $-397.40
Total Return: -3.97%
Back to Monday Masher