Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 02:00:53

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.2/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
5.9/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 47.2/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 34.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,356
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-25 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
252 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,885.68
Current Value
$12,605.38
Period P&L
$2,719.70
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.66

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+17.13%
Worst Trade
-3.48%
Avg Trade Return
+2.17%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$290,190.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,719.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,719.70
Gross Return
+27.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 252 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $9,885.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 12:05pm ET $405.51 24 $9,885.68
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 1:00pm ET $429.33 24 $10,466.37 $10,466.37 +$580.69
(+5.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET $425.83 25 $10,466.37
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $424.99 25 $10,445.85 $10,445.85 $-20.52
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 9:35am ET $405.69 26 $10,445.85
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $475.20 26 $12,235.62 $12,235.62 +$1,789.77
(+17.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 10:00am ET $493.47 25 $12,235.62
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $490.20 25 $12,154.54 $12,154.54 $-81.08
(-0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 10:00am ET $483.74 25 $12,154.54
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $490.99 25 $12,336.83 $12,336.83 +$182.29
(+1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:50am ET $557.69 22 $12,336.83
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $566.11 22 $12,523.09 $12,523.09 +$186.26
(+1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:00am ET $571.50 22 $12,523.09
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $580.12 22 $12,711.98 $12,711.98 +$188.89
(+1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:40am ET $510.85 25 $12,711.98
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $518.88 25 $12,911.87 $12,911.87 +$199.89
(+1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET $494.80 26 $12,911.87
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $477.57 26 $12,462.13 $12,462.13 $-449.74
(-3.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $482.54 26 $12,462.13
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $500.92 26 $12,936.81 $12,936.81 +$474.68
(+3.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:55am ET $457.71 28 $12,936.81
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $448.08 28 $12,664.48 $12,664.48 $-272.33
(-2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $484.29 26 $12,664.48
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $482.03 26 $12,605.38 $12,605.38 $-59.10
(-0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,605.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,605.38
Total Return: +26.05%
Back to Monday Masher