Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:35:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
13.6/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 76.5/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 54.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,327
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$14,701.77
Current Value
$16,510.03
Period P&L
$1,808.26
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.46

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+5.26%
Worst Trade
-2.25%
Avg Trade Return
+1.33%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$268,257.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,808.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,808.26
Gross Return
+12.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $14,701.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $115.92 127 $14,701.77
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $114.65 127 $14,540.07 $14,540.07 $-161.70
(-1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 9:40am ET $126.68 115 $14,540.07
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $129.34 115 $14,845.97 $14,845.97 +$305.90
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $143.25 104 $14,845.97
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $140.50 104 $14,560.96 $14,560.96 $-285.01
(-1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:30am ET $142.59 102 $14,560.96
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $139.38 102 $14,233.16 $14,233.16 $-327.80
(-2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $136.68 104 $14,233.16
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.96 104 $14,574.19 $14,574.19 +$341.03
(+2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $136.07 107 $14,574.19
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $140.46 107 $15,043.86 $15,043.86 +$469.67
(+3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $136.82 110 $15,043.86
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $136.79 110 $15,040.01 $15,040.01 $-3.85
(-0.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $129.30 116 $15,040.01
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $134.84 116 $15,684.67 $15,684.67 +$644.66
(+4.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:40am ET $161.34 97 $15,684.67
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $169.83 97 $16,510.03 $16,510.03 +$825.36
(+5.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,510.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,510.03
Total Return: +65.10%
Back to Monday Masher