Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:35:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
27.2/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 60.0/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 50.2

30-Day Momentum

13
+1.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,104.60
Current Value
$13,887.92
Period P&L
$-216.68
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+2.99%
Worst Trade
-7.04%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$225,172.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-216.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-216.68
Gross Return
-1.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $14,104.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $221.44 64 $14,104.60
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $227.43 64 $14,486.13 $14,486.13 +$381.53
(+2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:40am ET $232.40 62 $14,486.13
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $231.62 62 $14,437.20 $14,437.20 $-48.93
(-0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $227.33 64 $14,437.20
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $225.40 64 $14,314.63 $14,314.63 $-122.57
(-0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET $221.35 65 $14,314.63
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $205.76 65 $13,306.73 $13,306.73 $-1,007.90
(-7.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:30am ET $204.80 65 $13,306.73
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $210.93 65 $13,705.02 $13,705.02 +$398.29
(+3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $206.97 66 $13,705.02
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $212.43 66 $14,066.57 $14,066.57 +$361.55
(+2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $206.00 68 $14,066.57
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $209.03 68 $14,273.48 $14,273.48 +$206.91
(+1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $206.57 69 $14,273.48
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $200.99 69 $13,887.92 $13,887.92 $-385.56
(-2.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,887.92
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,887.92
Total Return: +38.88%
Back to Monday Masher