Compendium › Monday Masher › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 6 trades in period

+1.90%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,234.82
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$9,062.75
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:34:09

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 7.6/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 6.6

30-Day Momentum

35
+4.6%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
3.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.7 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,062.75
Current Value
$9,234.82
Period P&L
$172.07
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+3.39%
Worst Trade
-2.90%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$108,513.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$172.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$172.07
Gross Return
+1.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $9,062.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $377.23 24 $9,062.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.29 24 $8,799.92 $8,799.92 $-262.83
(-2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:40am ET $367.09 24 $8,799.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $368.33 24 $8,829.65 $8,829.65 +$29.73
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $344.11 26 $8,829.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $355.79 26 $9,129.35 $9,129.35 +$299.70
(+3.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:35am ET $346.75 26 $9,129.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.99 26 $9,214.65 $9,214.65 +$85.30
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:35am ET $352.43 26 $9,214.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.36 26 $9,134.38 $9,134.38 $-80.27
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $342.86 27 $9,134.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $346.63 27 $9,234.82 $9,234.82 +$100.44
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,234.82
Net Profit/Loss: $-765.18
Total Return: -7.65%
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