Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:34:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.7/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
10.3/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 55.4/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 45.5

30-Day Momentum

30
+4.7%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
5.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.6 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,363.42
Current Value
$12,820.26
Period P&L
$1,456.84
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.70

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
7 / 2
Best Trade
+4.30%
Worst Trade
-2.18%
Avg Trade Return
+1.37%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$214,341.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,456.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,456.84
Gross Return
+12.82%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $11,363.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $172.53 66 $11,363.42
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $168.77 66 $11,115.77 $11,115.77 $-247.65
(-2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $163.33 68 $11,115.77
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $165.98 68 $11,296.12 $11,296.12 +$180.35
(+1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $157.97 72 $11,296.12
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $160.85 72 $11,501.71 $11,501.71 +$205.59
(+1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $155.44 74 $11,501.71
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $158.44 74 $11,723.69 $11,723.69 +$221.98
(+1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $165.85 71 $11,723.69
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $166.06 71 $11,738.53 $11,738.53 +$14.84
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $157.72 74 $11,738.53
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $164.50 74 $12,243.14 $12,243.14 +$504.61
(+4.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $175.70 70 $12,243.14
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $183.02 70 $12,753.23 $12,753.23 +$510.09
(+4.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET $189.80 67 $12,753.23
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $189.11 67 $12,706.87 $12,706.87 $-46.36
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $187.71 68 $12,706.87
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $189.38 68 $12,820.26 $12,820.26 +$113.39
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,820.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,820.26
Total Return: +28.20%
Back to Monday Masher