Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 00:38:00

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.2/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 73.6/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 52.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,657
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,892.46
Current Value
$14,450.66
Period P&L
$-441.80
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-2.47

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-0.43%
Worst Trade
-1.36%
Avg Trade Return
-1.00%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$87,976.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-441.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-441.80
Gross Return
-2.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $14,892.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET $304.91 49 $14,892.46
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $300.77 49 $14,690.25 $14,690.25 $-202.21
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $373.95 39 $14,690.25
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $372.33 39 $14,626.41 $14,626.41 $-63.84
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:25am ET $361.18 40 $14,626.41
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $356.85 40 $14,450.66 $14,450.66 $-175.75
(-1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,450.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,450.66
Total Return: +44.51%
Back to Monday Masher