Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 08:44:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

71
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.1/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
4.9/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 73.2/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 71.2

30-Day Momentum

28
+14.8%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.4 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-43 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,936
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$39,840.32
Current Value
$44,273.57
Period P&L
$4,433.25
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.50

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
11 / 10
Best Trade
+28.09%
Worst Trade
-14.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.87%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,641,862.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,433.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,433.25
Gross Return
+11.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $39,840.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET $135.90 293 $39,840.32
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $132.93 293 $38,971.07 $38,971.07 $-869.25
(-2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $118.70 328 $38,971.07
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $118.17 328 $38,798.11 $38,798.11 $-172.96
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $123.37 314 $38,798.11
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $133.65 314 $42,031.02 $42,031.02 +$3,232.91
(+8.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:55pm ET $135.65 310 $42,031.02
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $135.67 310 $42,037.12 $42,037.12 +$6.10
(+0.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $118.68 354 $42,037.12
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $115.80 354 $41,017.01 $41,017.01 $-1,020.11
(-2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:35am ET $121.42 338 $41,017.01
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 1:00pm ET $120.44 338 $40,685.96 $40,685.96 $-331.05
(-0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:50am ET $117.26 347 $40,685.96
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $113.09 347 $39,239.09 $39,239.09 $-1,446.87
(-3.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $106.69 368 $39,239.09
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $103.40 368 $38,029.93 $38,029.93 $-1,209.16
(-3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $93.50 407 $38,029.93
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $80.59 407 $32,778.95 $32,778.95 $-5,250.98
(-13.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $86.39 379 $32,778.95
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $77.99 379 $29,591.74 $29,591.74 $-3,187.21
(-9.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $74.31 398 $29,591.74
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $77.36 398 $30,806.31 $30,806.31 +$1,214.57
(+4.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $73.49 419 $30,806.31
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $82.16 419 $34,443.04 $34,443.04 +$3,636.73
(+11.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $75.87 454 $34,443.04
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $78.80 454 $35,773.19 $35,773.19 +$1,330.15
(+3.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $74.37 481 $35,773.19
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $74.91 481 $36,032.94 $36,032.94 +$259.75
(+0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $71.88 501 $36,032.94
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $72.72 501 $36,454.03 $36,454.03 +$421.09
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $66.24 550 $36,454.03
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $70.10 550 $38,575.56 $38,575.56 +$2,121.53
(+5.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $69.61 554 $38,575.56
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $71.69 554 $39,730.94 $39,730.94 +$1,155.38
(+3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $68.21 583 $39,730.94
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.36 583 $50,892.07 $50,892.07 +$11,161.13
(+28.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $89.70 567 $50,892.07
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $88.30 567 $50,097.77 $50,097.77 $-794.30
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $83.35 601 $50,097.77
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $71.36 601 $42,888.62 $42,888.62 $-7,209.15
(-14.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $76.49 561 $42,888.62
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $78.96 561 $44,273.57 $44,273.57 +$1,384.95
(+3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $44,273.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$34,273.57
Total Return: +342.74%
Back to Monday Masher