Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 00:38:05

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.2/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
4.8/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 73.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 72.0

30-Day Momentum

8
+0.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.8 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-64 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,576
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$40,685.96
Current Value
$40,652.90
Period P&L
$-33.06
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.69

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
12 / 9
Best Trade
+28.09%
Worst Trade
-14.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,680,441.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-33.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-33.06
Gross Return
-0.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $40,685.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:50am ET $117.26 347 $40,685.96
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $113.09 347 $39,239.09 $39,239.09 $-1,446.87
(-3.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $106.69 368 $39,239.09
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $103.40 368 $38,029.93 $38,029.93 $-1,209.16
(-3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $93.50 407 $38,029.93
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $80.59 407 $32,778.95 $32,778.95 $-5,250.98
(-13.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $86.39 379 $32,778.95
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $77.99 379 $29,591.74 $29,591.74 $-3,187.21
(-9.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $74.31 398 $29,591.74
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $77.36 398 $30,806.31 $30,806.31 +$1,214.57
(+4.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $73.49 419 $30,806.31
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $82.16 419 $34,443.04 $34,443.04 +$3,636.73
(+11.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $75.87 454 $34,443.04
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $78.80 454 $35,773.19 $35,773.19 +$1,330.15
(+3.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $74.37 481 $35,773.19
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $74.91 481 $36,032.94 $36,032.94 +$259.75
(+0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $71.88 501 $36,032.94
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $72.72 501 $36,454.03 $36,454.03 +$421.09
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $66.24 550 $36,454.03
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $70.10 550 $38,575.56 $38,575.56 +$2,121.53
(+5.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $69.61 554 $38,575.56
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $71.69 554 $39,730.94 $39,730.94 +$1,155.38
(+3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $68.21 583 $39,730.94
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.36 583 $50,892.07 $50,892.07 +$11,161.13
(+28.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $89.70 567 $50,892.07
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $88.30 567 $50,097.77 $50,097.77 $-794.30
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $83.35 601 $50,097.77
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $71.36 601 $42,888.62 $42,888.62 $-7,209.15
(-14.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $76.49 561 $42,888.62
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $78.96 561 $44,273.57 $44,273.57 +$1,384.95
(+3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $75.10 590 $44,273.57
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $76.88 590 $45,325.04 $45,325.04 +$1,051.47
(+2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $75.97 597 $45,325.04
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $75.66 597 $45,141.87 $45,141.87 $-183.17
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $90.18 501 $45,141.87
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $82.82 501 $41,456.72 $41,456.72 $-3,685.15
(-8.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $84.21 492 $41,456.72
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $86.75 492 $42,709.63 $42,709.63 +$1,252.91
(+3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $99.35 430 $42,709.63
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $105.40 430 $45,310.47 $45,310.47 +$2,600.84
(+6.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:40am ET $108.28 418 $45,310.47
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $97.15 418 $40,652.90 $40,652.90 $-4,657.57
(-10.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $40,652.90
Net Profit/Loss: +$30,652.90
Total Return: +306.53%
Back to Monday Masher