Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:35:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 6.3/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

59
+31.0%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 89.6 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+54 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,198
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
132 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,001.29
Current Value
$8,661.82
Period P&L
$2,660.53
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
10 / 5
Best Trade
+12.05%
Worst Trade
-17.05%
Avg Trade Return
+2.88%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$200,727.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,660.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,660.53
Gross Return
+44.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+44.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 132 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $6,001.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $242.44 25 $6,001.29
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 2:55pm ET $201.10 25 $4,977.97 $4,977.97 $-1,023.32
(-17.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:30am ET $242.83 20 $4,977.97
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $248.54 20 $5,094.92 $5,094.92 +$116.95
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:45am ET $269.54 19 $5,094.92
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $284.79 19 $5,383.28 $5,383.28 +$288.36
(+5.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $389.13 14 $5,383.28
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $435.79 14 $6,028.86 $6,028.86 +$645.58
(+12.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $372.10 16 $6,028.86
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.88 16 $6,705.79 $6,705.79 +$676.93
(+11.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:50am ET $419.30 16 $6,705.79
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $414.09 16 $6,622.55 $6,622.55 $-83.24
(-1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET $402.79 16 $6,622.55
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $397.02 16 $6,527.68 $6,527.68 $-94.87
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $364.41 18 $6,527.68
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $405.32 18 $7,260.50 $7,260.50 +$732.82
(+11.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $439.55 17 $7,260.50
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $444.24 17 $7,337.97 $7,337.97 +$77.47
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:20am ET $419.13 18 $7,337.97
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $355.92 18 $6,231.31 $6,231.31 $-1,106.66
(-15.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $345.18 18 $6,231.31
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.37 18 $6,613.75 $6,613.75 +$382.44
(+6.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $376.27 18 $6,613.75
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $421.60 18 $7,410.52 $7,410.52 +$796.77
(+12.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $415.50 18 $7,410.52
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $455.74 18 $8,128.21 $8,128.21 +$717.69
(+9.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:05am ET $447.05 18 $8,128.21
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.98 18 $8,708.65 $8,708.65 +$580.44
(+7.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:55am ET $517.91 17 $8,708.65
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $515.12 17 $8,661.82 $8,661.82 $-46.83
(-0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,661.82
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,338.18
Total Return: -13.38%
Back to Monday Masher