Compendium › Monday Masher › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 7 trades in period

-1.14%
Last 6 Months Return
$17,161.98
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$17,359.01
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:34:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 61.3/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 51.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,519
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,359.01
Current Value
$17,161.98
Period P&L
$-197.03
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.74

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+4.30%
Worst Trade
-3.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$237,371.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-197.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-197.03
Gross Return
-1.14%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $17,359.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 1:05pm ET $412.52 42 $17,359.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $404.09 42 $17,004.27 $17,004.27 $-354.74
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 10:25am ET $443.49 38 $17,004.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $451.44 38 $17,309.01 $17,309.01 +$304.74
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $463.85 37 $17,309.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $449.55 37 $16,775.44 $16,775.44 $-533.57
(-3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $415.36 40 $16,775.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $405.90 40 $16,393.37 $16,393.37 $-382.07
(-2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $390.44 42 $16,393.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $407.21 42 $17,097.49 $17,097.49 +$704.12
(+4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:30am ET $392.92 44 $17,097.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $387.13 44 $16,845.54 $16,845.54 $-251.95
(-1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $366.52 46 $16,845.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $373.40 46 $17,161.98 $17,161.98 +$316.44
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,161.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,161.98
Total Return: +71.62%
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