META Monday Masher's Analysis
to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 58 trades executed
+64.82%
2 Years Return
$17,014.69
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$10,323.15
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
64
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.4/25
Win Rate
10.2/15
Profit Factor
7.0/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality
74.4/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 63.7
30-Day Momentum
39
+7.9%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 64.2
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
76,715
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,323.15
Current Value
$17,014.69
Total P&L
$6,691.54
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
49
Winners / Losers
34 /
15
Best Trade
+19.81%
Worst Trade
-7.99%
Avg Trade Return
+1.11%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,321,148.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,691.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,691.54
Gross Return
+64.82%
Net Return (after fees)
+64.82%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $10,323.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2024 9:35am ET | $467.93 | 22 | $10,323.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2024 3:55pm ET | $481.66 | 22 | $10,626.13 | $10,626.13 |
+$302.98 (+2.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $497.47 | 21 | $10,626.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2024 3:55pm ET | $501.64 | 21 | $10,715.26 | $10,715.26 |
+$89.13 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2024 10:40am ET | $499.44 | 21 | $10,715.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2024 3:55pm ET | $513.11 | 21 | $11,008.65 | $11,008.65 |
+$293.39 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $504.04 | 22 | $11,008.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2024 1:00pm ET | $509.96 | 22 | $11,137.95 | $11,137.95 |
+$129.30 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2024 9:55am ET | $531.66 | 21 | $11,137.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2024 3:55pm ET | $534.67 | 21 | $11,201.01 | $11,201.01 |
+$63.06 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2024 9:40am ET | $496.98 | 23 | $11,201.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2024 3:55pm ET | $461.99 | 23 | $10,412.37 | $10,412.37 |
$-788.64 (-7.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2024 10:55am ET | $485.49 | 21 | $10,412.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2024 3:55pm ET | $461.31 | 21 | $9,893.86 | $9,893.86 |
$-518.51 (-5.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2024 2:00pm ET | $467.99 | 21 | $9,893.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2024 3:55pm ET | $474.36 | 21 | $10,028.53 | $10,028.53 |
+$134.67 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $459.39 | 22 | $10,028.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2024 3:55pm ET | $488.93 | 22 | $10,673.48 | $10,673.48 |
+$644.95 (+6.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2024 10:15am ET | $523.07 | 20 | $10,673.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2024 3:55pm ET | $535.17 | 20 | $10,920.49 | $10,920.49 |
+$247.01 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2024 9:40am ET | $521.64 | 21 | $10,920.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2024 3:55pm ET | $516.71 | 21 | $10,817.28 | $10,817.28 |
$-103.21 (-0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2024 10:45am ET | $504.48 | 21 | $10,817.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2024 3:55pm ET | $511.98 | 21 | $10,978.10 | $10,978.10 |
+$160.82 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $517.81 | 21 | $10,978.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2024 3:55pm ET | $537.75 | 21 | $11,400.85 | $11,400.85 |
+$422.75 (+3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2024 11:00am ET | $566.91 | 20 | $11,400.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2024 3:55pm ET | $568.26 | 20 | $11,428.00 | $11,428.00 |
+$27.15 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2024 10:30am ET | $596.38 | 19 | $11,428.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2024 3:55pm ET | $590.34 | 19 | $11,312.26 | $11,312.26 |
$-115.74 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2024 9:40am ET | $572.53 | 20 | $11,312.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2024 3:55pm ET | $563.88 | 20 | $11,141.25 | $11,141.25 |
$-171.01 (-1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $558.71 | 20 | $11,141.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 3:55pm ET | $572.04 | 20 | $11,407.02 | $11,407.02 |
+$265.77 (+2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $580.69 | 20 | $11,407.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2024 3:55pm ET | $580.13 | 20 | $11,396.07 | $11,396.07 |
$-10.95 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 12:20pm ET | $559.50 | 20 | $11,396.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 27, 2024 3:55pm ET | $569.44 | 20 | $11,598.53 | $11,598.53 |
+$202.46 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 10:35am ET | $613.80 | 19 | $11,598.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2024 3:55pm ET | $632.68 | 19 | $11,955.39 | $11,955.39 |
+$356.86 (+3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2024 10:05am ET | $588.47 | 20 | $11,955.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2024 3:55pm ET | $603.37 | 20 | $12,258.10 | $12,258.10 |
+$302.71 (+2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $589.30 | 21 | $12,258.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $599.29 | 21 | $12,465.83 | $12,465.83 |
+$207.73 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $602.63 | 21 | $12,465.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $616.72 | 21 | $12,757.29 | $12,757.29 |
+$291.46 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $632.72 | 20 | $12,757.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $676.63 | 20 | $13,642.74 | $13,642.74 |
+$885.45 (+6.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 9:50am ET | $674.41 | 20 | $13,642.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $673.92 | 20 | $13,632.93 | $13,632.93 |
$-9.81 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 10:30am ET | $670.86 | 20 | $13,632.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $656.30 | 20 | $13,337.05 | $13,337.05 |
$-295.88 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $605.54 | 22 | $13,337.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $619.34 | 22 | $13,641.00 | $13,641.00 |
+$303.95 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $602.50 | 23 | $13,641.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $583.95 | 23 | $13,221.02 | $13,221.02 |
$-419.98 (-3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $555.60 | 24 | $13,221.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $583.91 | 24 | $13,894.68 | $13,894.68 |
+$673.66 (+5.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $488.05 | 28 | $13,894.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $584.71 | 28 | $16,646.57 | $16,646.57 |
+$2,751.89 (+19.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 10:30am ET | $545.93 | 30 | $16,646.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $502.31 | 30 | $15,316.50 | $15,316.50 |
$-1,330.07 (-8.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $492.56 | 31 | $15,316.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $520.01 | 31 | $16,170.24 | $16,170.24 |
+$853.74 (+5.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2025 11:20am ET | $543.64 | 30 | $16,170.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $547.41 | 30 | $16,282.38 | $16,282.38 |
+$112.14 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $591.10 | 28 | $16,282.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $597.15 | 28 | $16,449.03 | $16,449.03 |
+$166.65 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $632.12 | 26 | $16,449.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $635.02 | 26 | $16,524.37 | $16,524.37 |
+$75.34 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $765.75 | 22 | $16,524.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $747.48 | 22 | $16,130.12 | $16,130.12 |
$-394.25 (-2.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $696.80 | 23 | $16,130.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $717.83 | 23 | $16,616.94 | $16,616.94 |
+$486.82 (+3.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 10:55am ET | $708.79 | 23 | $16,616.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $717.78 | 23 | $16,827.70 | $16,827.70 |
+$210.76 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 11:05am ET | $649.87 | 26 | $16,827.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $636.00 | 26 | $16,468.55 | $16,468.55 |
$-359.15 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $604.15 | 27 | $16,468.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $590.34 | 27 | $16,092.10 | $16,092.10 |
$-376.45 (-2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $639.18 | 25 | $16,092.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $639.74 | 25 | $16,106.20 | $16,106.20 |
+$14.10 (+0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 10:35am ET | $660.75 | 24 | $16,106.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 1:00pm ET | $667.55 | 24 | $16,271.95 | $16,271.95 |
+$165.75 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $708.84 | 23 | $16,271.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $668.99 | 23 | $15,357.16 | $15,357.16 |
$-914.79 (-5.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $648.47 | 24 | $15,357.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $652.38 | 24 | $15,449.88 | $15,449.88 |
+$92.72 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $635.26 | 24 | $15,449.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $655.40 | 24 | $15,939.82 | $15,939.82 |
+$489.94 (+3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $601.38 | 27 | $15,939.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $594.88 | 27 | $15,767.53 | $15,767.53 |
$-172.29 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $574.83 | 27 | $15,767.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $611.70 | 27 | $16,778.73 | $16,778.73 |
+$1,011.20 (+6.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $674.00 | 25 | $16,778.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $675.11 | 25 | $16,806.36 | $16,806.36 |
+$27.63 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $605.03 | 28 | $16,806.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $612.53 | 28 | $17,014.69 | $17,014.69 |
+$208.33 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,014.69
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,014.69
Total Return:
+70.15%