Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:35:00

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.9/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 32.3/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 24.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
64,699
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,065.36
Current Value
$11,438.53
Total P&L
$1,373.17
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
24
Winners / Losers
12 / 12
Best Trade
+10.82%
Worst Trade
-4.97%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$538,199.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,373.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,373.17
Gross Return
+13.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $10,065.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $67.38 149 $10,065.36
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2024 3:55pm ET $66.93 149 $9,998.14 $9,998.14 $-67.22
(-0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 10:40am ET $84.50 118 $9,998.14
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 3:55pm ET $85.54 118 $10,121.79 $10,121.79 +$123.65
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2024 11:55am ET $83.76 121 $10,121.79
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2024 3:55pm ET $87.19 121 $10,536.91 $10,536.91 +$415.12
(+4.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2024 10:30am ET $89.59 118 $10,536.91
🔴 SELL Nov 27, 2024 3:55pm ET $91.87 118 $10,805.07 $10,805.07 +$268.16
(+2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 9:40am ET $94.87 114 $10,805.07
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2024 3:55pm ET $94.97 114 $10,816.46 $10,816.46 +$11.39
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET $90.86 119 $10,816.46
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2024 3:55pm ET $92.78 119 $11,045.63 $11,045.63 +$229.17
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2024 9:40am ET $90.59 122 $11,045.63
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $90.03 122 $10,977.35 $10,977.35 $-68.28
(-0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET $92.25 119 $10,977.35
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $91.33 119 $10,867.28 $10,867.28 $-110.07
(-1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 9:40am ET $93.91 116 $10,867.28
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $96.21 116 $11,133.42 $11,133.42 +$266.14
(+2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 10:55am ET $98.15 113 $11,133.42
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $95.98 113 $10,887.27 $10,887.27 $-246.15
(-2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $89.63 121 $10,887.27
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $85.17 121 $10,346.00 $10,346.00 $-541.27
(-5.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $80.86 128 $10,346.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $89.61 128 $11,465.56 $11,465.56 +$1,119.56
(+10.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 10:05am ET $92.40 124 $11,465.56
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $94.96 124 $11,782.60 $11,782.60 +$317.04
(+2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 10:20am ET $95.75 123 $11,782.60
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $96.78 123 $11,909.97 $11,909.97 +$127.37
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $96.65 123 $11,909.97
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $96.39 123 $11,877.31 $11,877.31 $-32.66
(-0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 10:35am ET $98.23 121 $11,877.31
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $99.36 121 $12,013.94 $12,013.94 +$136.63
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 10:35am ET $96.58 124 $12,013.94
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $97.60 124 $12,140.82 $12,140.82 +$126.88
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $105.07 116 $12,140.82
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $102.51 116 $11,845.01 $11,845.01 $-295.81
(-2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 10:05am ET $113.88 104 $11,845.01
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $113.15 104 $11,769.70 $11,769.70 $-75.31
(-0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:00am ET $113.22 104 $11,769.70
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 1:00pm ET $111.61 104 $11,602.85 $11,602.85 $-166.85
(-1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET $129.71 89 $11,602.85
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $128.76 89 $11,517.51 $11,517.51 $-85.34
(-0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $125.24 92 $11,517.51
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $124.71 92 $11,468.31 $11,468.31 $-49.20
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $128.43 89 $11,468.31
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $127.88 89 $11,418.75 $11,418.75 $-49.56
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $129.88 88 $11,418.75
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $130.10 88 $11,438.53 $11,438.53 +$19.78
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,438.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,438.53
Total Return: +14.39%
Back to Monday Masher