Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:48:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.3/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
9.8/15
Profit Factor
7.5/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 62.5/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 54.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,367
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,056.57
Current Value
$13,612.56
Period P&L
$555.99
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.43

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+5.26%
Worst Trade
-6.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$208,158.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$555.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$555.99
Gross Return
+4.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $13,056.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:25am ET $379.66 34 $13,056.57
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $383.66 34 $13,194.13 $13,194.13 +$137.56
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $359.55 37 $13,194.13
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $358.04 37 $13,138.72 $13,138.72 $-55.41
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $341.11 39 $13,138.72
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $320.41 39 $12,341.41 $12,341.41 $-797.31
(-6.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $303.20 41 $12,341.41
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $307.43 41 $12,513.79 $12,513.79 +$172.38
(+1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $294.11 43 $12,513.79
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $303.45 43 $12,910.97 $12,910.97 +$397.18
(+3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:45am ET $299.22 43 $12,910.97
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $300.85 43 $12,981.30 $12,981.30 +$70.33
(+0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $310.97 42 $12,981.30
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $327.33 42 $13,664.14 $13,664.14 +$682.84
(+5.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $317.89 43 $13,664.14
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $316.68 43 $13,612.56 $13,612.56 $-51.58
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,612.56
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,612.56
Total Return: +36.13%
Back to Monday Masher