Compendium › Monday Masher › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Monday Masher's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

-3.67%
Year to Date Return
$10,685.66
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$11,092.91
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 01:54:55

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
69.4/25
Win Rate
95.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
90.7/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 72.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,457
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
125 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,092.91
Current Value
$10,685.66
Period P&L
$-407.25
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+6.52%
Worst Trade
-5.14%
Avg Trade Return
-0.83%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$86,854.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-407.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-407.25
Gross Return
-3.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 125 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Monday Masher had $11,092.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $250.94 44 $11,092.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $238.03 44 $10,522.22 $10,522.22 $-570.69
(-5.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:50am ET $234.29 45 $10,522.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $249.55 45 $11,208.03 $11,208.03 +$685.81
(+6.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $317.13 35 $11,208.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $305.80 35 $10,807.77 $10,807.77 $-400.26
(-3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:10am ET $265.52 41 $10,807.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $262.52 41 $10,685.66 $10,685.66 $-122.11
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,685.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$685.66
Total Return: +6.86%
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